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Public trading strategy

AI server builders are the picks and shovels play — Dell and Super Micro ride Mi

Created

Thesis

Nvidia recently launched its new Vera Rubin systems, acting as a major catalyst for server manufacturers like Super Micro and Dell. Today, Micron completely smashed earnings, proving that the money being allocated for AI data centers is actually being spent right now. While the market was recently gripped by a chip selloff, these two back-to-back catalysts are lighting a fire under the hardware companies that physically build these servers.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long SMCI and DELL on D1 when MU closes up >10% for the day, provided the broader market (SPY) is above its 50-day moving average. Hold for 15 days with an 8% trailing stop.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/ROC Signal Long (SPY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 15.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 16.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SPY@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/ROC Signal Long (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 16
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5209333333333337,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/ROC Signal Long (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "SPY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 16
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5209333333333337,
      "stop_loss_percent": 8,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI server builders are the picks and shovels play — Dell and Super Micro ride Micron's coattails'. Thesis: Nvidia recently launched its new Vera Rubin systems, acting as a major catalyst for server manufacturers like Super Micro and Dell. Today, Micron completely smashed earnings, proving that the money being allocated for AI data centers is actually being spent right now. While the market was recently gripped by a chip selloff, these two back-to-back catalysts are lighting a fire under the hardware companies that physically build these servers.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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