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Public trading strategy

FXY Breakout Confirmation Strategy

Created

Thesis

Japanese rates at a 30-year high make the famous 'borrow yen cheaply' trade far less attractive, so investors unwind it by buying yen back — a pattern that historically shows up as sharp yen strength during global bond routs. Unlike US rate-hike trades already crowded, this is a distinct, less-watched angle on the same global yield shock. A long-yen position via FXY (or short yen ETF hedge) captures that flow without equity risk.

Strategy approach

Japanese rates at a 30-year high make the famous 'borrow yen cheaply' trade far less attractive, so investors unwind it by buying yen back — a pattern that historically shows up as sharp yen strength during global bond routs. Unlike US rate-hike trades already crowded, this is a distinct, less-watched angle on the same global yield shock. A long-yen position via FXY (or short yen ETF hedge) captures that flow without equity risk. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

FXY · 1d

1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) above 0 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near

YCS · 1d

2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 0 — met
  • ROC (10) above 0 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (FXY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (YCS@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fxy",
      "name": "ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ycs",
      "name": "ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fxy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ycs",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fxy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ycs",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.6
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_fxy",
      "name": "ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ycs",
      "name": "ROC/ADX/MACD Crossover Long (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_fxy",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ycs",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_fxy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:YCS",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ycs",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (YCS@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:YCS"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.6
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Japanese rates at a 30-year high make the famous 'borrow yen cheaply' trade far less attractive, so investors unwind it by buying yen back — a pattern that historically shows up as sharp yen strength during global bond routs. Unlike US rate-hike trades al'. Thesis: Japanese rates at a 30-year high make the famous 'borrow yen cheaply' trade far less attractive, so investors unwind it by buying yen back — a pattern that historically shows up as sharp yen strength during global bond routs. Unlike US rate-hike trades already crowded, this is a distinct, less-watched angle on the same global yield shock. A long-yen position via FXY (or short yen ETF hedge) captures that flow without equity risk.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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