Public trading strategy
Oil crashes as peace deal floods the market while stocks rip on rate hopes — buy
Created
Thesis
Airlines are heavily dependent on fuel costs, so a sudden supply glut of oil is a massive positive for their bottom line. Bloomberg highlights a stunning reversal in oil prices as a peace deal and desperate selling by Middle East producers swamp the market, while Reuters notes the supply glut is outright crushing the market. Simultaneously, Yahoo Finance reports that a weak jobs report has eased rate-hike fears, driving the broader stock market higher. This combination — crashing oil prices lifting profit margins, plus a rallying stock market boosting consumer confidence — creates the perfect environment for airline stocks to take off.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based long strategy on JETS (or AAL / DAL) using the D1 timeframe. Entry: trigger when the US Crude Oil WTI Futures (CL=F) closes down 3% or more on the day AND the S&P 500 (SPY) closes up 1% or more on the same day. Exit: take profit at a 10% gain from entry, use a 6% stop loss, and enforce a 30-day max hold period.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAL · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
DAL · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
JETS · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) at or below -3 — far
- ROC (1) at or above 1 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- Price below EMA (50) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oil Crash / Equity Rally Long (JETS@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 6.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Signal Exit: Close Below 50 EMA (JETS@1d) (2 conditions)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jets",
"name": "Oil Crash / Equity Rally Long (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 6.0%",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jets",
"name": "Signal Exit: Close Below 50 EMA (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4613666666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jets",
"name": "Oil Crash / Equity Rally Long (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 6.0%",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jets",
"name": "Signal Exit: Close Below 50 EMA (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4613666666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil crashes as peace deal floods the market while stocks rip on rate hopes — buy the airline profit margin boom'. Thesis: Airlines are heavily dependent on fuel costs, so a sudden supply glut of oil is a massive positive for their bottom line. Bloomberg highlights a stunning reversal in oil prices as a peace deal and desperate selling by Middle East producers swamp the market, while Reuters notes the supply glut is outright crushing the market. Simultaneously, Yahoo Finance reports that a weak jobs report has eased rate-hike fears, driving the broader stock market higher. This combination — crashing oil prices lifting profit margins, plus a rallying stock market boosting consumer confidence — creates the perfect environment for airline stocks to take off.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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