Inflation cools and banks print record profits — long JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs
Created
Thesis
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs both just posted record trading revenues, proving their core businesses are firing on all cylinders. The June CPI report showed prices actually falling, which eases the threat of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Lower inflation expectations are great for banks because they reduce the risk that high rates push the economy into a recession and hurt loan repayments. With strong earnings momentum and a friendly inflation backdrop, the big banks have a clear runway to continue rallying.
Strategy approach
Build a swing-trading strategy that enters long JPM and GS on the daily chart when US CPI prints negative month-over-month. Entry: place a buy stop order 0.5% above the prior day's high on the CPI release day. Exit: take profit at 4% gain, or exit with a 2% stop loss if the stock closes below its 10-day simple moving average. Hold up to 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
GS · 1d
3 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- Price above SMA (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
JPM · 1d
3 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- Price above SMA (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
XLF · 1d
2 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- Price above SMA (10) — near
- Price above Donchian (1) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) below 75 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (GS@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (JPM@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (GS@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (JPM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (XLF@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (GS@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (JPM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (XLF@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gs",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_gs",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_jpm",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xlf",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/RSI Signal Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_gs",
"name": "Crossover Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_jpm",
"name": "Crossover Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xlf",
"name": "Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gs",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0% (GS@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jpm",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xlf",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gs",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GS@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_gs",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (GS@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_jpm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_xlf",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4178333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.4178333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 1
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
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"method": {
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"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Inflation cools and banks print record profits — long JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs'. Thesis: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs both just posted record trading revenues, proving their core businesses are firing on all cylinders. The June CPI report showed prices actually falling, which eases the threat of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Lower inflation expectations are great for banks because they reduce the risk that high rates push the economy into a recession and hurt loan repayments. With strong earnings momentum and a friendly inflation backdrop, the big banks have a clear runway to continue rallying.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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