Public trading strategy
Mega-cap tech spending scare hits Microsoft and Apple — fade the bounce
Created
Thesis
Microsoft is in a historic June selloff because investors are losing patience with massive capital spending. Apple just had its worst day in a year after raising prices on Macs and iPads to offset rising chip costs — a sign margins are under pressure. Palantir is down over 30% this month despite the AI narrative. When the market's most beloved mega-caps all break down simultaneously on different fundamentals — spending concerns, cost inflation, and valuation compression — it signals a broader loss of confidence in the sector. Rather than catching falling knives, this setup favors riding the downside momentum.
Strategy approach
Build a short momentum strategy on mega-cap tech. Enter short a basket of MSFT, AAPL, and PLTR when each stock makes a new 30-day low on above-average volume. Use a 15-trading-day hold, a 4% stop above entry, and exit individual positions if they bounce 5% from entry.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAPL · 1d
0 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed below Donchian (30) — near
- OBV below Price — unknown
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price crossed below Donchian (30) — near
- OBV below Price — unknown
MSFT · 1d
0 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed below Donchian (30) — far
- OBV below Price — unknown
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
- Price crossed below Donchian (30) — far
- OBV below Price — unknown
PLTR · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (MSFT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (MSFT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_msft",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_msft",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_msft",
"name": "Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_aapl",
"name": "Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_msft",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_msft",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.3878000000000004,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_msft",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/RSI Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_msft",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 30
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_msft",
"name": "Crossover Long (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_aapl",
"name": "Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_msft",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_msft",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.3878000000000004,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Mega-cap tech spending scare hits Microsoft and Apple — fade the bounce'. Thesis: Microsoft is in a historic June selloff because investors are losing patience with massive capital spending. Apple just had its worst day in a year after raising prices on Macs and iPads to offset rising chip costs — a sign margins are under pressure. Palantir is down over 30% this month despite the AI narrative. When the market's most beloved mega-caps all break down simultaneously on different fundamentals — spending concerns, cost inflation, and valuation compression — it signals a broader loss of confidence in the sector. Rather than catching falling knives, this setup favors riding the downside momentum.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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