Public trading strategy
Weak jobs report kills rate-hike fears and sinks the dollar — ride the crypto sh
Created
Thesis
The June jobs report was shockingly weak, meaning the Federal Reserve is highly unlikely to raise interest rates. According to Reuters, this pushed the dollar to its biggest weekly drop since April. A weak dollar and low interest rates are rocket fuel for crypto, which is exactly what happened next: CoinDesk reports that crypto traders who bet against the market were squeezed out, forcing Bitcoin toward $62,000 and pushing Solana up nearly 19% on the week. This combination of a falling dollar and a short squeeze gives crypto a strong floor of momentum to ride into the weekend.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based long strategy on SOL-USDT (spot) using the D1 timeframe. Entry: enter long when the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) makes a 10-day low and SOL closes up >3% on the same day. Exit: take profit if SOL closes at a 10-day high, or stop loss at 5% below entry, or force a 14-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (SOL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (BTC@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_sol",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_btc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.561733333333333,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "ROC/MACD/ATR Signal Long (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_sol",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_btc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.561733333333333,
"stop_loss_percent": 5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Weak jobs report kills rate-hike fears and sinks the dollar — ride the crypto short-squeeze on Solana'. Thesis: The June jobs report was shockingly weak, meaning the Federal Reserve is highly unlikely to raise interest rates. According to Reuters, this pushed the dollar to its biggest weekly drop since April. A weak dollar and low interest rates are rocket fuel for crypto, which is exactly what happened next: CoinDesk reports that crypto traders who bet against the market were squeezed out, forcing Bitcoin toward $62,000 and pushing Solana up nearly 19% on the week. This combination of a falling dollar and a short squeeze gives crypto a strong floor of momentum to ride into the weekend.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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