Public trading strategy
A failed late-stage cancer vaccine trial is not a one-day blip for BioNTech — it
Created
Thesis
A failed late-stage cancer vaccine trial is not a one-day blip for BioNTech — it removes a key pipeline pillar and the 8% drop reflects a real downgrade of the company's future. Moderna's 6% slide shows the failure is contagious across the whole mRNA-cancer-vaccine thesis, since investors now doubt the technology works in that space. Pfizer holding flat is the tell: the market already sees it as diversified away from this risk. That divergence lets you short the two pure-plays while the diversified giant stays a safe long hedge.
Strategy approach
A failed late-stage cancer vaccine trial is not a one-day blip for BioNTech — it removes a key pipeline pillar and the 8% drop reflects a real downgrade of the company's future. Moderna's 6% slide shows the failure is contagious across the whole mRNA-cancer-vaccine thesis, since investors now doubt the technology works in that space. Pfizer holding flat is the tell: the market already sees it as diversified away from this risk. That divergence lets you short the two pure-plays while the diversified giant stays a safe long hedge. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BNTX · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
MRNA · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
PFE · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) crossed below EMA (50) — near
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (BNTX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (MRNA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (PFE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (BNTX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (MRNA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (PFE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (BNTX@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (MRNA@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (PFE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (BNTX@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (MRNA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (PFE@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BNTX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (MRNA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (PFE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_bntx",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (BNTX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mrna",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (MRNA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MRNA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_pfe",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (PFE@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_bntx",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (BNTX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_mrna",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (MRNA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MRNA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_pfe",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (PFE@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_bntx",
"name": "Crossover Long (BNTX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_mrna",
"name": "Crossover Long (MRNA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MRNA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_pfe",
"name": "Crossover Long (PFE@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_bntx",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BNTX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mrna",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MRNA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MRNA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_pfe",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (PFE@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_bntx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BNTX@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MRNA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mrna",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (MRNA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MRNA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PFE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_pfe",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (PFE@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.439090909090909
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.878181818181818
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.439090909090909,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:BNTX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
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"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
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}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
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},
{
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},
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},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
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},
{
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},
{
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},
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}
}
],
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{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
"conditions": [
{
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},
{
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}
},
{
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},
"indicator": {
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},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
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},
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}
],
"direction": "long",
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},
{
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{
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},
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},
"operator": "crossed_below",
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},
"indicator": {
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},
{
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{
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],
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},
{
"conditions": [
{
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},
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},
{
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},
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{
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},
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"indicator": {
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},
{
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],
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},
{
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{
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},
{
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{
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{
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}
],
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"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
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{
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"right": {
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}
}
],
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},
{
"conditions": [
{
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],
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},
{
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{
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],
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}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
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"conditions": [
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},
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"right": {
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},
{
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},
{
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},
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}
}
],
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"target_symbol": "STOCK:BNTX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
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},
{
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}
},
{
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},
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mrna",
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"purpose": "signal",
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},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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},
{
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},
{
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],
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},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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},
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},
"ratio": 1618,
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}
}
],
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},
{
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],
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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},
{
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],
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"id": "exit_2_pfe",
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"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PFE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A failed late-stage cancer vaccine trial is not a one-day blip for BioNTech — it removes a key pipeline pillar and the 8% drop reflects a real downgrade of the company's future. Moderna's 6% slide shows the failure is contagious across the whole mRNA-canc'. Thesis: A failed late-stage cancer vaccine trial is not a one-day blip for BioNTech — it removes a key pipeline pillar and the 8% drop reflects a real downgrade of the company's future. Moderna's 6% slide shows the failure is contagious across the whole mRNA-cancer-vaccine thesis, since investors now doubt the technology works in that space. Pfizer holding flat is the tell: the market already sees it as diversified away from this risk. That divergence lets you short the two pure-plays while the diversified giant stays a safe long hedge.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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