Public trading strategy
Big Tech AI spending panic is overblown — long the suppliers as Meta pivots to t
Created
Thesis
Wall Street has been aggressively punishing the big tech giants (like Microsoft) for their massive AI spending, wiping out $2.3 trillion in value in June. But the money isn't leaving the AI theme entirely — it is rotating downstream. The CNBC article notes that investors poured $2 trillion into the actual chipmakers like AMD and Intel in Q2. The catalyst for this rotation is becoming clear: Meta just announced a plan to turn its AI spending into a cloud business. This proves to the market that AI investments can actually generate revenue, which will likely spark a recovery in beaten-down tech platforms while the chip suppliers continue to benefit from the hardware build-out.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long META on D1 when the stock's 14-day RSI crosses above 50 (entering bullish momentum) while SMH (Semiconductor ETF) makes a new 20-day high on the same day. Exit if META drops 5% from entry or after a 21-day holding period.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
META · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- RSI (14) crossed above 50 — far
SMH · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (META@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (AMD@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: RSI Crossover Long (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: RSI Crossover Long (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (META@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_meta",
"name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_meta",
"name": "RSI Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_amd",
"name": "RSI Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_meta",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_amd",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_meta",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (META@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_meta",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_meta",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (META@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_meta",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4221
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8442
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4221,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_meta",
"name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "RSI/DONCHIAN Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_meta",
"name": "RSI Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_amd",
"name": "RSI Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_meta",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_amd",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_meta",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (META@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_meta",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_meta",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (META@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_meta",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (META@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4221
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8442
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4221,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Big Tech AI spending panic is overblown — long the suppliers as Meta pivots to the cloud'. Thesis: Wall Street has been aggressively punishing the big tech giants (like Microsoft) for their massive AI spending, wiping out $2.3 trillion in value in June. But the money isn't leaving the AI theme entirely — it is rotating downstream. The CNBC article notes that investors poured $2 trillion into the actual chipmakers like AMD and Intel in Q2. The catalyst for this rotation is becoming clear: Meta just announced a plan to turn its AI spending into a cloud business. This proves to the market that AI investments can actually generate revenue, which will likely spark a recovery in beaten-down tech platforms while the chip suppliers continue to benefit from the hardware build-out.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies