Big Tech selloff masks hidden chip boom — long the forgotten suppliers
Created
Thesis
The Magnificent Seven tech giants have lost $2.3 trillion in value, but investors aren't abandoning AI — they're rotating money into second-tier chipmakers like Micron, AMD, and Intel, which collectively added $2 trillion in value last quarter. This is a targeted divergence: big tech is being punished for spending uncertainty while the hardware suppliers are being rewarded. The narrowness of this rally has created elevated volatility risk, but the momentum in chip suppliers remains strong as long as AI demand keeps expanding beyond just Nvidia.
Strategy approach
Build a momentum-breakout strategy on MU and AMD using D1 timeframe. Entry: when price closes at a 20-day high AND the stock is outperforming QQQ by at least 2% over the past 5 days. Exit: 12% profit target OR 6% trailing stop OR max 30-day hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
0 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or above Donchian (20) — near
INTC · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
MU · 1d
1 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or above Donchian (20) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Long (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN Signal Long (MU@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 12.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 6.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_amd",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_mu",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 12.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 6.0%",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 1,
"stop_loss_percent": 6,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_amd",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"op": "Subtract",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_mu",
"name": "DONCHIAN Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 12.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 6.0%",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 1,
"stop_loss_percent": 6,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Big Tech selloff masks hidden chip boom — long the forgotten suppliers'. Thesis: The Magnificent Seven tech giants have lost $2.3 trillion in value, but investors aren't abandoning AI — they're rotating money into second-tier chipmakers like Micron, AMD, and Intel, which collectively added $2 trillion in value last quarter. This is a targeted divergence: big tech is being punished for spending uncertainty while the hardware suppliers are being rewarded. The narrowness of this rally has created elevated volatility risk, but the momentum in chip suppliers remains strong as long as AI demand keeps expanding beyond just Nvidia.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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