Public trading strategy
Record $6.4B pulled from Bitcoin funds as crypto winter bites — short the overex
Created
Thesis
The biggest Bitcoin investment funds just saw their worst month ever, with investors racing for the exits to the tune of $6.4 billion. When institutional money leaves Bitcoin that fast, it tends to drag down the companies whose entire business model depends on a healthy crypto market. MicroStrategy is deeply tied to Bitcoin's price because it holds massive amounts of the coin on its balance sheet, and its stock often moves more violently than Bitcoin itself. With Bitcoin down over 40% from its peak and no sign of the outflows stopping, this is a classic setup to bet against the most crypto-exposed companies.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short MSTR on D1 when price closes below the 10-day EMA and the 20-day EMA is sloping downward. Exit on a 2 consecutive day close above the 10-day EMA or after a 14-day max hold. Use a 8% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BTC · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above EMA (10) — met
- Price above EMA (10) — met
- Price above EMA (10) — met
- Price above EMA (10) — met
- Price above EMA (10) — met
- Price above EMA (10) — met
COIN · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
MSTR · 1d
0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
- Price above EMA (10) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (MSFT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (GOOGL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (META@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: ADX Signal Short (AMZN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (GOOGL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AMZN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSFT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GOOGL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSFT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (GOOGL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMZN@1d) (2 conditions)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GOOGL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_msft",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 51,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 52,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GOOGL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_googl",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (GOOGL@1d)",
"priority": 53,
"trade_symbol": "GOOGL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_meta",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (META@1d)",
"priority": 54,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amzn",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 55,
"trade_symbol": "AMZN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_aapl",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_msft",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GOOGL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_googl",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (GOOGL@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "GOOGL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_meta",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (META@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amzn",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 6,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AMZN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_msft",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_googl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GOOGL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "GOOGL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_meta",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amzn",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMZN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_msft",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GOOGL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_googl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (GOOGL@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GOOGL"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_meta",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amzn",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 105,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMZN"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 16.666666666666668,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GOOGL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSFT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_msft",
"name": "ADX Signal Short (MSFT@1d)",
"priority": 51,
"trade_symbol": "MSFT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
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],
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{
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],
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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{
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{
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},
{
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"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amzn",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMZN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
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},
{
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"right": {
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},
"ratio": 382,
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}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AAPL@1d)",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
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},
{
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],
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
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},
{
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},
{
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],
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{
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}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_googl",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GOOGL"
},
{
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"type": "price"
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_meta",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
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{
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{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
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"symbol": "AMZN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
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"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amzn",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMZN@1d)",
"priority": 105,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMZN"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 16.666666666666668,
"method": {
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"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Record $6.4B pulled from Bitcoin funds as crypto winter bites — short the overexposed Bitcoin proxies'. Thesis: The biggest Bitcoin investment funds just saw their worst month ever, with investors racing for the exits to the tune of $6.4 billion. When institutional money leaves Bitcoin that fast, it tends to drag down the companies whose entire business model depends on a healthy crypto market. MicroStrategy is deeply tied to Bitcoin's price because it holds massive amounts of the coin on its balance sheet, and its stock often moves more violently than Bitcoin itself. With Bitcoin down over 40% from its peak and no sign of the outflows stopping, this is a classic setup to bet against the most crypto-exposed companies.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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