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Public trading strategy

Iran peace deal near, Bitcoin breaks $64K — buy the geopolitical relief rally

Created

Thesis

An impending peace deal in the Middle East is calming global markets, prompting investors to take on more risk. Bitcoin is benefiting doubly because large funds just snapped a five-day streak of withdrawals to inject over $85 million into Bitcoin ETFs on Friday. When geopolitical tensions ease and institutional money flows return at the same time, Bitcoin often experiences strong multi-week rallies.

Strategy approach

Build a trend-following long strategy on BTCUSDT using the 4-hour (H4) timeframe. Entry: when price closes above the 50-period EMA and the 14-period RSI is above 55. Exit: when price closes below the 50-period EMA. Add a 5% trailing stop and a max hold period of 14 days.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/RSI Signal Long (BTC@4h) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/RSI Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "4h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/RSI Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "4h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "4h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran peace deal near, Bitcoin breaks $64K — buy the geopolitical relief rally'. Thesis: An impending peace deal in the Middle East is calming global markets, prompting investors to take on more risk. Bitcoin is benefiting doubly because large funds just snapped a five-day streak of withdrawals to inject over $85 million into Bitcoin ETFs on Friday. When geopolitical tensions ease and institutional money flows return at the same time, Bitcoin often experiences strong multi-week rallies.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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