Public trading strategy
Micron proved AI demand is real, but the whole sector is getting dumped — buy th
Created
Thesis
Micron reported massive earnings confirming $100B in AI memory demand, sending AI stocks surging. Yet within 24 hours, the entire tech sector is selling off, with Micron and Nvidia both falling alongside Apple, which is being hit by the downstream effect of higher memory costs. This combination suggests the market is overreacting to short-term margin concerns while the underlying AI capex thesis remains intact. The sell-off in Micron specifically appears disconnected from its fundamentally improved earnings outlook.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU on D1 when MU drops 5%+ over 2 sessions after a major positive earnings gap and NVDA drops 3%+ in the same window. Exit on a 3% bounce from entry or a 14-day max hold. Use a 7% hard stop.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nvda",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aapl",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4652
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4652,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nvda",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aapl",
"name": "ROC/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4652
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4652,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron proved AI demand is real, but the whole sector is getting dumped — buy the chip dip'. Thesis: Micron reported massive earnings confirming $100B in AI memory demand, sending AI stocks surging. Yet within 24 hours, the entire tech sector is selling off, with Micron and Nvidia both falling alongside Apple, which is being hit by the downstream effect of higher memory costs. This combination suggests the market is overreacting to short-term margin concerns while the underlying AI capex thesis remains intact. The sell-off in Micron specifically appears disconnected from its fundamentally improved earnings outlook.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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