Inflation cools, rate hike fears vanish — Bitcoin breaks out toward $65K
Thesis
For weeks, traders worried that a strong economy and sticky prices would force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, which tends to pull money away from riskier assets like Bitcoin. However, the latest inflation report showed the biggest monthly drop in prices since 2020. This surprising cooldown instantly gutted the threat of higher rates, giving crypto investors the green light to buy back in. With the rate hike narrative broken for now, Bitcoin has a clear path to recover recent losses as market confidence returns.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based momentum strategy that enters long BTCUSD on the H4 timeframe when price closes above its 20-period high after a positive macroeconomic surprise (CPI printing lower than expectations). Exit if price closes below the 20-period low, or hold for a maximum of 10 days. ADVANCED ANALYSIS RESEARCH EVIDENCE {"fundamentals_xbrl":{"coverage":{"reasons":{},"requested":[],"with_series":[]},"etf_profiles":[],"latest_snapshots":[{"capex":"8212000","cash":"2301470000","company_name":"Strategy…