Public trading strategy
Ford's profit beat and raised guidance show real demand is holding up even as th
Created
Thesis
Ford's profit beat and raised guidance show real demand is holding up even as the market obsesses over AI spending and Fed uncertainty. With inflation at 4.1%, the Fed may hold or even hike — which punishes expensive growth stocks but barely dents a cheaply valued automaker trading at a fraction of the broader market. This is the same rotation logic driving investors toward UPS and PayPal: companies with actual earnings and reasonable valuations are quietly winning while tech stumbles.
Strategy approach
Ford's profit beat and raised guidance show real demand is holding up even as the market obsesses over AI spending and Fed uncertainty. With inflation at 4.1%, the Fed may hold or even hike — which punishes expensive growth stocks but barely dents a cheaply valued automaker trading at a fraction of the broader market. This is the same rotation logic driving investors toward UPS and PayPal: companies with actual earnings and reasonable valuations are quietly winning while tech stumbles. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
F1D
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/EMA Signal Long (F@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: ADX Threshold Exit (F@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (F@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (F@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.2% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (F@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/EMA Signal Long (F@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:F"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "ADX Threshold Exit (F@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (F@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:F"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (F@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:F"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.242
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.484
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (F@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.242,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 200
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/EMA Signal Long (F@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:F"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "ADX Threshold Exit (F@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (F@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:F"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (F@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:F"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.242
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.2%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.484
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:F",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (F@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.242,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Ford's profit beat and raised guidance show real demand is holding up even as the market obsesses over AI spending and Fed uncertainty. With inflation at 4.1%, the Fed may hold or even hike — which punishes expensive growth stocks but barely dents a cheap'. Thesis: Ford's profit beat and raised guidance show real demand is holding up even as the market obsesses over AI spending and Fed uncertainty. With inflation at 4.1%, the Fed may hold or even hike — which punishes expensive growth stocks but barely dents a cheaply valued automaker trading at a fraction of the broader market. This is the same rotation logic driving investors toward UPS and PayPal: companies with actual earnings and reasonable valuations are quietly winning while tech stumbles.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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