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Public trading strategy

Traders dump chip stocks into a bear market but secretly pour billions into tech

Created

Thesis

The semiconductor sector has been beaten down badly enough to enter a bear market, flushing out weak hands. However, the massive $2.4 billion influx into the tech-heavy QQQ ETF shows that large investors are not abandoning the tech trade; they are likely loading up at a steep discount. When heavy institutional buying meets deeply negative sentiment, it often creates a sharp relief rally as the selling pressure exhausts itself. This divergence is a textbook setup for a contrarian bounce play on the major chip ETFs.

Strategy approach

Build a swing trading strategy that enters long SOXX or SMH on the daily (D1) timeframe when the ETF is down more than 15% from its recent peak (indicating bear-market conditions for the sector) but registers a massive single-day capital inflow (proxy: a 3%+ gap up with volume 2x the 20-day average). Exit conditions: 8% profit target or a 4% hard stop loss, with a maximum hold of 15 trading days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

QQQ · 1d

9 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (50) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

SMH · 1d

9 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — met
  • OBV crossed above SMA (50) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

SOXX · 1d

6 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — near
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — near
  • OBV crossed above SMA (20) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — near
  • OBV crossed above SMA (50) — unknown
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (SMH@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (SOXX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smh",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_soxx",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_smh",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_soxx",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_qqq",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_smh",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_soxx",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_qqq",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_4_smh",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_4_soxx",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_4_qqq",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/OBV/VWAP/ADX Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_smh",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_soxx",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 15
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_smh",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_soxx",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smh",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_soxx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_smh",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_soxx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.417
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.834
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.417,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
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    },
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          }
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            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
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          }
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      ],
      "direction": "long",
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      "enabled": true,
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      "enabled": true,
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      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
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      "enabled": true,
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    },
    {
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        {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
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          },
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        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
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      "purpose": "stop_loss",
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    },
    {
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            "type": "price"
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_qqq",
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      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:QQQ"
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      "priority": 100,
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
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    "method": {
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      "risk_percent": 2.417,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
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    "min_position_value": 100
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Traders dump chip stocks into a bear market but secretly pour billions into tech ETFs — contrarian bounce setup on semiconductors'. Thesis: The semiconductor sector has been beaten down badly enough to enter a bear market, flushing out weak hands. However, the massive $2.4 billion influx into the tech-heavy QQQ ETF shows that large investors are not abandoning the tech trade; they are likely loading up at a steep discount. When heavy institutional buying meets deeply negative sentiment, it often creates a sharp relief rally as the selling pressure exhausts itself. This divergence is a textbook setup for a contrarian bounce play on the major chip ETFs.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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