Public trading strategy
TUR Contrarian Mean Reversion Strategy
Created
Thesis
Turkey's rout is a liquidity squeeze at fund managers, not a currency or banking collapse, and officials are now intervening hard — detaining executives and moving to contain the damage. Historically, when regulators go this far this fast, the forced-selling phase is close to its end. An ETF like TUR is deeply beaten down, so the upside when confidence returns is much larger than the remaining downside if the containment works. This is a small, defined-risk contrarian bet, not a core holding.
Strategy approach
Turkey's rout is a liquidity squeeze at fund managers, not a currency or banking collapse, and officials are now intervening hard — detaining executives and moving to contain the damage. Historically, when regulators go this far this fast, the forced-selling phase is close to its end. An ETF like TUR is deeply beaten down, so the upside when confidence returns is much larger than the remaining downside if the containment works. This is a small, defined-risk contrarian bet, not a core holding. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
TUR1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
TUR · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) crossed above 30 — far
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (3) — far
- Price crossed above SMA (20) — near
- Price crossed above SMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Fade the Oversold Reclaim Short — Failed-Bounce Continuation (TUR@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop at 60 Bars (1 condition)
- Exit: Invalidation: Resistance Reclaim Confirmed (TUR@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% Reached on the Downside (TUR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Fade the Oversold Reclaim Short — Failed-Bounce Continuation (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Invalidation: Resistance Reclaim Confirmed (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% Reached on the Downside (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 3,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "Fade the Oversold Reclaim Short — Failed-Bounce Continuation (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Time Stop at 60 Bars",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Invalidation: Resistance Reclaim Confirmed (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TUR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% Reached on the Downside (TUR@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TUR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Turkey's rout is a liquidity squeeze at fund managers, not a currency or banking collapse, and officials are now intervening hard — detaining executives and moving to contain the damage. Historically, when regulators go this far this fast, the forced-sell'. Thesis: Turkey's rout is a liquidity squeeze at fund managers, not a currency or banking collapse, and officials are now intervening hard — detaining executives and moving to contain the damage. Historically, when regulators go this far this fast, the forced-selling phase is close to its end. An ETF like TUR is deeply beaten down, so the upside when confidence returns is much larger than the remaining downside if the containment works. This is a small, defined-risk contrarian bet, not a core holding.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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