Public trading strategy
Rivian's stock reversing higher after earnings tells you the market sees a real
Created
Thesis
Rivian's stock reversing higher after earnings tells you the market sees a real product inflection — the R2 launch is converting skeptics. When a beaten-down stock gaps up on genuine operational progress, the momentum often continues as short-sellers cover and analysts upgrade. Roblox faces the opposite dynamic: a platform redesign broke the spending loop that drives revenue, and its worst-ever one-day drop signals that the fundamental damage to its business model is real, not just noise. Pairing the long and short removes broader market risk while capturing the divergence between a company whose product is working and one whose product change just broke its money engine.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
RBLX · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (21) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (21) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
RIVN · 1d
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (21) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (9) crossed above EMA (21) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Long (RIVN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Short (RBLX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Short (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_rivn",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_rblx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_rivn",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_rblx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5061
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.0122
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.5061,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "vwap"
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Long (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "EMA/MACD/ADX/VWAP Crossover Short (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_rivn",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIVN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_rblx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RIVN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_rivn",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIVN"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RBLX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5_rblx",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (RBLX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RBLX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5061
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.0122
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.5061,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Rivian's stock reversing higher after earnings tells you the market sees a real product inflection — the R2 launch is converting skeptics. When a beaten-down stock gaps up on genuine operational progress, the momentum often continues as short-sellers cove'. Thesis: Rivian's stock reversing higher after earnings tells you the market sees a real product inflection — the R2 launch is converting skeptics. When a beaten-down stock gaps up on genuine operational progress, the momentum often continues as short-sellers cover and analysts upgrade. Roblox faces the opposite dynamic: a platform redesign broke the spending loop that drives revenue, and its worst-ever one-day drop signals that the fundamental damage to its business model is real, not just noise. Pairing the long and short removes broader market risk while capturing the divergence between a company whose product is working and one whose product change just broke its money engine.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies