IEF Oversold Dip-Buy with Support Confirmation Strategy
Created
Thesis
JPMorgan's global fixed income chief says the whole yield curve is oversold and is waiting to deploy fresh buying, which signals that large institutional demand is sitting just below current prices. This week's US data is expected to strengthen the case for an October rate hike — the very force behind the selloff — so the bad news is largely out in the open and priced in. Meanwhile, investors pulling out of the riskiest emerging-market bonds typically rotate that money into US Treasuries, the traditional safe haven, adding a second source of demand. A dip-buy in long-dated Treasury ETFs captures the snap-back when yields stabilize after this week's data.
Strategy approach
JPMorgan's global fixed income chief says the whole yield curve is oversold and is waiting to deploy fresh buying, which signals that large institutional demand is sitting just below current prices. This week's US data is expected to strengthen the case for an October rate hike — the very force behind the selloff — so the bad news is largely out in the open and priced in. Meanwhile, investors pulling out of the riskiest emerging-market bonds typically rotate that money into US Treasuries, the traditional safe haven, adding a second source of demand. A dip-buy in long-dated Treasury ETFs captures the snap-back when yields stabilize after this week's data. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
IEF · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
TLT · 1d
4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (IEF@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (TLT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (IEF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (IEF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.9% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ief",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tlt",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_ief",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_tlt",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_ief",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 382,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_tlt",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ief",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tlt",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ief",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tlt",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.85
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.85,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ief",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tlt",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:IEF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_ief",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
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}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_tlt",
"name": "Oversold EMA/RSI Crossover Long (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"conditions": [
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"field": "low",
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},
{
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"field": "close",
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}
}
],
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"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_ief",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (IEF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
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},
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},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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},
"ratio": 382,
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},
{
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}
}
],
"direction": "long",
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"name": "Long Entry Signal (TLT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
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}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
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"left": {
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},
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}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
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},
{
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"conditions": [
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ief",
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},
{
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{
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],
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"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:IEF"
},
{
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"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tlt",
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"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.85,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'JPMorgan's global fixed income chief says the whole yield curve is oversold and is waiting to deploy fresh buying, which signals that large institutional demand is sitting just below current prices. This week's US data is expected to strengthen the case f'. Thesis: JPMorgan's global fixed income chief says the whole yield curve is oversold and is waiting to deploy fresh buying, which signals that large institutional demand is sitting just below current prices. This week's US data is expected to strengthen the case for an October rate hike — the very force behind the selloff — so the bad news is largely out in the open and priced in. Meanwhile, investors pulling out of the riskiest emerging-market bonds typically rotate that money into US Treasuries, the traditional safe haven, adding a second source of demand. A dip-buy in long-dated Treasury ETFs captures the snap-back when yields stabilize after this week's data.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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