Public trading strategy
Tesla crushes deliveries just as rate-hike fears vanish — momentum play on TSLA
Created
Thesis
Tesla reported 480,126 deliveries for Q2 2026, crushing the consensus and marking a strong recovery from previous quarters of sales declines. On its own, that's a strong signal for the stock. But combine it with the weak jobs report that just dimmed Fed rate-hike expectations, and you get a second tailwind: when interest rates stop climbing (or even fall), auto loans get cheaper and more people can afford to buy cars. The bond market rally confirms that traders are pricing in lower-for-longer rates. Tesla is a growth stock that is highly sensitive to borrowing costs, so the combination of a fundamental earnings beat and a macro shift toward easier monetary policy is exactly the kind of setup that can drive sustained upside.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long TSLA on D1 when the stock closes up more than 3% on a delivery or earnings surprise day AND the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen 10 basis points over the prior 3 sessions. Use a 7% trailing stop and a 21-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
TSLAD1
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
TSLA · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
- Price crossed below SMA (21) — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (TSLA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "TSLA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.355066666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.710133333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.355066666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "momentum",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "TSLA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.355066666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.710133333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.355066666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tesla crushes deliveries just as rate-hike fears vanish — momentum play on TSLA'. Thesis: Tesla reported 480,126 deliveries for Q2 2026, crushing the consensus and marking a strong recovery from previous quarters of sales declines. On its own, that's a strong signal for the stock. But combine it with the weak jobs report that just dimmed Fed rate-hike expectations, and you get a second tailwind: when interest rates stop climbing (or even fall), auto loans get cheaper and more people can afford to buy cars. The bond market rally confirms that traders are pricing in lower-for-longer rates. Tesla is a growth stock that is highly sensitive to borrowing costs, so the combination of a fundamental earnings beat and a macro shift toward easier monetary policy is exactly the kind of setup that can drive sustained upside.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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