Public trading strategy
Micron's blowout earnings prove AI is real while crypto crumbles — buy the dip o
Created
Thesis
Micron and Qualcomm just reminded everyone that AI is a real, accelerating revenue story — Micron quadrupled its revenue and Qualcomm forecast $15 billion in data center chip sales. Yet Bitcoin is plumbing 2026 lows and a tech fear gauge is near a two-decade high, showing deep anxiety among investors. When solid fundamentals collide with peak fear in a megatrend like AI, it often marks a local bottom. The decoupling between crypto's decline and chip-stock strength suggests the smart money is already rotating from speculative crypto into profitable semiconductor companies, making any dip in MU and QCOM a potential buying opportunity.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU and QCOM on H4 when the stock has dropped 5% over the prior 3 sessions and then closes above its 20-period VWAP. Require that BTC-USD is in a 5-day downtrend (trading below its 5-day SMA) as a macro fear filter. Exit on a 3% gain or a 2.5% loss, or after 5 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (QCOM@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (NVDA@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (BTC@4h) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (QCOM@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_qcom",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_qcom",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_qcom",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.578866666666667,
"stop_loss_percent": 2.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "vwap"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "vwap"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "vwap"
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_qcom",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "vwap"
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "ROC/VWAP/SMA Signal Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_qcom",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_qcom",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "QCOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.578866666666667,
"stop_loss_percent": 2.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron's blowout earnings prove AI is real while crypto crumbles — buy the dip on semiconductor stocks'. Thesis: Micron and Qualcomm just reminded everyone that AI is a real, accelerating revenue story — Micron quadrupled its revenue and Qualcomm forecast $15 billion in data center chip sales. Yet Bitcoin is plumbing 2026 lows and a tech fear gauge is near a two-decade high, showing deep anxiety among investors. When solid fundamentals collide with peak fear in a megatrend like AI, it often marks a local bottom. The decoupling between crypto's decline and chip-stock strength suggests the smart money is already rotating from speculative crypto into profitable semiconductor companies, making any dip in MU and QCOM a potential buying opportunity.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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