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Public trading strategy

BlackRock dives into DeFi while spot Bitcoin bleeds — long the yield tokens

Created

Thesis

There is a stark divergence in BlackRock's crypto strategy. On one hand, their main Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) just shed $300 million as investors run for the exits. On the other hand, they are actively pushing deeper into DeFi (decentralized finance) by integrating Ethena (ENA), which immediately sent that token up 8%. This suggests that while 'vanilla' Bitcoin is out of favor, institutional money is actively building infrastructure for yield-generating crypto tokens. Following BlackRock's specific deployment of capital into DeFi is a stronger signal than the general crypto market panic.

Strategy approach

Build a divergence strategy for ENA on the D1 timeframe. The thesis is that institutional flows are moving from spot BTC into DeFi yields. Enter long ENA when BTC makes a 10-day low while ENA makes a 10-day high (negative correlation/divergence). Exit if ENA drops 8% from entry or after 14 days. Use a 10% stop loss.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

ENA · 1d

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

UNI · 1d

4 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price at or below Donchian (10) — met
  • Price at or above Donchian (10) — far
  • RSI (14) above 50 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far
  • Price at or below Donchian (10) — met
  • Price at or above Donchian (10) — far
  • RSI (14) above 50 — met
  • RSI (14) below 40 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (UNI@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (BTC@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 20.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "UNI",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (UNI@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "UNI"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 10.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 20.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6247,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "UNI",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (UNI@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "UNI"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "UNI",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/RSI Signal Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -8
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 10.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 20.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6247,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'BlackRock dives into DeFi while spot Bitcoin bleeds — long the yield tokens'. Thesis: There is a stark divergence in BlackRock's crypto strategy. On one hand, their main Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) just shed $300 million as investors run for the exits. On the other hand, they are actively pushing deeper into DeFi (decentralized finance) by integrating Ethena (ENA), which immediately sent that token up 8%. This suggests that while 'vanilla' Bitcoin is out of favor, institutional money is actively building infrastructure for yield-generating crypto tokens. Following BlackRock's specific deployment of capital into DeFi is a stronger signal than the general crypto market panic.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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