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Public trading strategy

Tesla and Rivian delivery beats meet a slowing economy — momentum play on EV mak

Created

Thesis

Both Tesla and Rivian announced second-quarter delivery numbers that easily beat expectations, with Tesla delivering over 480,000 vehicles. This is a huge positive surprise for a market that was heavily distracted by a massive AI and semiconductor rally all quarter. While a separate report showed the broader U.S. job market cooling rapidly in June, strong EV deliveries suggest the consumer isn't completely dead. This combination creates the perfect environment for a short-term momentum trade: investors looking for growth will likely pile into the EV sector since it actually has positive catalysts, pushing these beaten-down stocks higher.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long TSLA on D1 when the stock closes up 3% on the day of a quarterly delivery announcement. RSI(14) should be below 60. Set a profit target at a 10% gain and a hard stop loss at 5%. Max hold period of 20 trading days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

RIVN · 1d

1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • RSI (14) below 60 — met
  • RSI (14) above 75 — far

TSLA · 1d

1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • RSI (14) below 60 — met
  • RSI (14) above 75 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/RSI Signal Long (TSLA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6262,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "ROC/RSI Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1618,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.6262,
      "stop_loss_percent": 5,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tesla and Rivian delivery beats meet a slowing economy — momentum play on EV makers'. Thesis: Both Tesla and Rivian announced second-quarter delivery numbers that easily beat expectations, with Tesla delivering over 480,000 vehicles. This is a huge positive surprise for a market that was heavily distracted by a massive AI and semiconductor rally all quarter. While a separate report showed the broader U.S. job market cooling rapidly in June, strong EV deliveries suggest the consumer isn't completely dead. This combination creates the perfect environment for a short-term momentum trade: investors looking for growth will likely pile into the EV sector since it actually has positive catalysts, pushing these beaten-down stocks higher.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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