Public trading strategy
Dow hits records while chip stocks crack — the AI trade is breaking and money is
Created
Thesis
The record-high Dow alongside a falling Nasdaq highlights a clear market rotation away from tech. News of a memory supply glut specifically hammering SanDisk and Micron confirms that the hardware side of the AI trade is facing real, immediate oversupply issues. When institutional money rotates into defensive industrials while semiconductors break down, chip stocks usually have further to fall.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion or breakdown strategy on the Daily timeframe for MU (Micron). Enter short when MU closes below its 20-day low on higher-than-average volume, specifically while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is making a new 20-day high in the same week. Cover the position if MU's RSI drops below 25 or after 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
6 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 25 — far
- RSI (14) below 25 — far
MU · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 25 — far
SMH · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Donchian (20) above 1 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above SMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 25 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (DIA@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (AMD@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (DIA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Oversold RSI Exit (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (DIA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (DIA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dia",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 51,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dia",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dia",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dia",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5102333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.020466666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2.5102333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dia",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"trade_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "DONCHIAN/OBV/ADX/SMA Crossover Short (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 51,
"trade_symbol": "AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dia",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "Oversold RSI Exit (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dia",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dia",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5102333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.020466666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 382,
"risk_percent": 2.5102333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Dow hits records while chip stocks crack — the AI trade is breaking and money is rotating to old-school stocks'. Thesis: The record-high Dow alongside a falling Nasdaq highlights a clear market rotation away from tech. News of a memory supply glut specifically hammering SanDisk and Micron confirms that the hardware side of the AI trade is facing real, immediate oversupply issues. When institutional money rotates into defensive industrials while semiconductors break down, chip stocks usually have further to fall.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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