Public trading strategy
The biggest U.S. refiners like Marathon Petroleum and Valero are minting cash fr
Created
Thesis
The biggest U.S. refiners like Marathon Petroleum and Valero are minting cash from high fuel demand and processing margins, using those profits to buy back stock and pay dividends. Meanwhile, the latest consumer inflation report showed prices cooling to 3.4% even with all the oil market drama, which means the Fed is less likely to raise interest rates and choke off the economic activity that keeps fuel demand strong. When a company is aggressively buying back its own stock and the economic outlook is stable, shareholder returns tend to compound quickly.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MPC · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Bollinger (20) at or above Price — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price below Bollinger (20) — far
PSX · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Bollinger (20) at or above Price — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price below Bollinger (20) — far
VLO · 1d
0 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Bollinger (20) at or above Price — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price below Bollinger (20) — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: BB/RSI Signal Long (MPC@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: BB/RSI Signal Long (PSX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: BB/RSI Signal Long (VLO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (MPC@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (PSX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (VLO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MPC@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PSX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (VLO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MPC@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (PSX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (VLO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mpc",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (MPC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MPC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_psx",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (PSX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PSX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vlo",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mpc",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (MPC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MPC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_psx",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (PSX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PSX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vlo",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mpc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MPC@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MPC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_psx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (PSX@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PSX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vlo",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mpc",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MPC@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MPC"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_psx",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (PSX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:PSX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_vlo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3016666666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.6033333333333335
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.3016666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mpc",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (MPC@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MPC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:PSX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_psx",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (PSX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:PSX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vlo",
"name": "BB/RSI Signal Long (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MPC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
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{
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{
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{
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],
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},
{
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
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{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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{
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
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],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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"risk_percent": 2.3016666666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
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"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The biggest U.S. refiners like Marathon Petroleum and Valero are minting cash from high fuel demand and processing margins, using those profits to buy back stock and pay dividends. Meanwhile, the latest consumer inflation report showed prices cooling to 3'. Thesis: The biggest U.S. refiners like Marathon Petroleum and Valero are minting cash from high fuel demand and processing margins, using those profits to buy back stock and pay dividends. Meanwhile, the latest consumer inflation report showed prices cooling to 3.4% even with all the oil market drama, which means the Fed is less likely to raise interest rates and choke off the economic activity that keeps fuel demand strong. When a company is aggressively buying back its own stock and the economic outlook is stable, shareholder returns tend to compound quickly.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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