US strikes Iran, peace hopes dashed — protect your portfolio by shorting the Nas
Created
Thesis
The sudden escalation between the US and Iran shatters the recent hopes for a peace deal, bringing fear back into the market. Historically, when military conflicts flare up unexpectedly, stock markets drop as investors move their money to safer assets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq already fell 3% on this news, and the renewed threat to global stability could push prices even lower as investors panic. Betting against the broader market right now protects you from the fallout while allowing you to profit from the fear.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short QQQ on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe when the price closes below the 20-period SMA and the RSI(14) drops below 40. Exit the position if the RSI crosses back above 60, or apply a 4% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Short (QQQ@4h) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 6.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Short (QQQ@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "QQQ"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 6.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_signal",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 4,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 10
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA/RSI Signal Short (QQQ@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "QQQ"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 6
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 6.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_signal",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_sl",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 4,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 10
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'US strikes Iran, peace hopes dashed — protect your portfolio by shorting the Nasdaq'. Thesis: The sudden escalation between the US and Iran shatters the recent hopes for a peace deal, bringing fear back into the market. Historically, when military conflicts flare up unexpectedly, stock markets drop as investors move their money to safer assets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq already fell 3% on this news, and the renewed threat to global stability could push prices even lower as investors panic. Betting against the broader market right now protects you from the fallout while allowing you to profit from the fear.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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