Public trading strategy
Wall Street upgrades chip stocks while oil crashes — ride the margin-expansion w
Created
Thesis
The 'WSJ' and 'Bloomberg' articles highlight that the broader market and chip stocks are having their best quarter in years, showing immense underlying strength in the technology sector. The 'Yahoo Finance' article adds fuel to this by noting that Wall Street firms are unanimously upgrading Micron to a Strong Buy right now. However, the second 'Bloomberg' article about a growing global oil glut offers a hidden, complementary tailwind: drastically cheaper fuel and transportation costs. When you combine surging Wall Street demand for chips with a sudden macro drop in input costs, semiconductor makers have a perfect setup for expanded profit margins.
Strategy approach
Build a long-momentum strategy that enters long MU on D1 when the semiconductor sector (SMH) is in a positive 20-day trend and WTI crude oil (CL=F) drops by more than 3% in a single trading session. Exit when MU reaches a 5% profit target or hits a 4% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 65 — met
SMH · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -3 — far
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 65 — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/RSI/EMA Signal Long (USO@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/RSI/EMA Signal Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.417266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.834533333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"condition_tree": {
"children": [
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
"op": "cond"
},
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
"op": "cond"
}
],
"op": "any"
},
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.417266666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/RSI/EMA Signal Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "USO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (USO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.417266666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.834533333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"condition_tree": {
"children": [
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
"op": "cond"
},
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
"op": "cond"
}
],
"op": "any"
},
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.417266666666667,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Wall Street upgrades chip stocks while oil crashes — ride the margin-expansion wave on Micron'. Thesis: The 'WSJ' and 'Bloomberg' articles highlight that the broader market and chip stocks are having their best quarter in years, showing immense underlying strength in the technology sector. The 'Yahoo Finance' article adds fuel to this by noting that Wall Street firms are unanimously upgrading Micron to a Strong Buy right now. However, the second 'Bloomberg' article about a growing global oil glut offers a hidden, complementary tailwind: drastically cheaper fuel and transportation costs. When you combine surging Wall Street demand for chips with a sudden macro drop in input costs, semiconductor makers have a perfect setup for expanded profit margins.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies