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Public trading strategy

Apple's price hikes prove Micron's pricing power — long memory chips on the sque

Created

Thesis

The combination of Micron's blowout quarter and Apple's被迫 price hikes tells us there is a severe supply shortage in memory chips. Apple had its worst session in a year simply because they have to pass memory costs to consumers, validating Micron's pricing power. This creates a classic commodity squeeze: the raw material suppliers (Micron) hold all the cards while consumer brands (Apple) absorb the margin hit. We want to be long the bottleneck.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long MU on D1 when it gaps up post-earnings and closes >5% above prior day close, targeting a 15% profit with an 8% stop loss.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

MU · 1d

2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 5 — met
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • RSI (14) below 75 — met
  • ROC (12) above 0.5 — far
  • RSI (14) above 85 — far

QCOM · 1d

3 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 5 — met
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • RSI (14) below 75 — met
  • ROC (12) above 0.5 — met
  • RSI (14) above 85 — far

SNDK · 1d

2 of 5 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above 5 — met
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • RSI (14) below 75 — met
  • ROC (12) above 0.5 — far
  • RSI (14) above 85 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: MACD/RSI/ROC Crossover Long (QCOM@1d) (6 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (QCOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "QCOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 12
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "MACD/RSI/ROC Crossover Long (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 85
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4613
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9226
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 618,
      "risk_percent": 2.4613,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 12
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "QCOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 75
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 12
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "MACD/RSI/ROC Crossover Long (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 85
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4613
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9226
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QCOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (QCOM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 618,
      "risk_percent": 2.4613,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple's price hikes prove Micron's pricing power — long memory chips on the squeeze'. Thesis: The combination of Micron's blowout quarter and Apple's被迫 price hikes tells us there is a severe supply shortage in memory chips. Apple had its worst session in a year simply because they have to pass memory costs to consumers, validating Micron's pricing power. This creates a classic commodity squeeze: the raw material suppliers (Micron) hold all the cards while consumer brands (Apple) absorb the margin hit. We want to be long the bottleneck.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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