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Public trading strategy

Apple and Meta ditch Nvidia for custom chips — ride the AI spin-off trend

Created

Thesis

The news highlights a major shift in the AI landscape: Nvidia's $1 trillion slide has pushed its valuation to multiyear lows, but rather than just bouncing back, the market is rewarding companies reducing their reliance on Nvidia. Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom and Meta's successful development of custom AI chips show that big tech is pivoting toward in-house solutions. Connecting Nvidia's struggles with Apple and Meta's aggressive chip strategies reveals a clear rotation trade—investors are selling the established AI chip monopoly and buying the tech giants building their own independent AI infrastructure.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based long-only strategy on AAPL and META. Use a daily (D1) timeframe. Entry condition: AAPL or META makes a new 10-day high while NVDA closes down on the same day (divergence signal). Exit condition: 10% profit target or close below the 20-day moving average, with a maximum hold of 20 trading days. Allocate equally if both trigger simultaneously.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (META@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (META@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AVGO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (META@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (META@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_aapl",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_meta",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (META@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_aapl",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_meta",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (META@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_nvda",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_avgo",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_aapl",
      "name": "Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_meta",
      "name": "Crossover Long (META@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_nvda",
      "name": "Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_avgo",
      "name": "Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_aapl",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_meta",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (META@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_aapl",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_meta",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3503
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.7006
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3503,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "AAPL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "AAPL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_aapl",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "AAPL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
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}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple and Meta ditch Nvidia for custom chips — ride the AI spin-off trend'. Thesis: The news highlights a major shift in the AI landscape: Nvidia's $1 trillion slide has pushed its valuation to multiyear lows, but rather than just bouncing back, the market is rewarding companies reducing their reliance on Nvidia. Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom and Meta's successful development of custom AI chips show that big tech is pivoting toward in-house solutions. Connecting Nvidia's struggles with Apple and Meta's aggressive chip strategies reveals a clear rotation trade—investors are selling the established AI chip monopoly and buying the tech giants building their own independent AI infrastructure.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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