Apple and Meta ditch Nvidia for custom chips — ride the AI spin-off trend
Created
Thesis
The news highlights a major shift in the AI landscape: Nvidia's $1 trillion slide has pushed its valuation to multiyear lows, but rather than just bouncing back, the market is rewarding companies reducing their reliance on Nvidia. Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom and Meta's successful development of custom AI chips show that big tech is pivoting toward in-house solutions. Connecting Nvidia's struggles with Apple and Meta's aggressive chip strategies reveals a clear rotation trade—investors are selling the established AI chip monopoly and buying the tech giants building their own independent AI infrastructure.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based long-only strategy on AAPL and META. Use a daily (D1) timeframe. Entry condition: AAPL or META makes a new 10-day high while NVDA closes down on the same day (divergence signal). Exit condition: 10% profit target or close below the 20-day moving average, with a maximum hold of 20 trading days. Allocate equally if both trigger simultaneously.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (META@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AAPL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (META@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AVGO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_meta",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avgo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_meta",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_nvda",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_avgo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_aapl",
"name": "Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_meta",
"name": "Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_nvda",
"name": "Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_avgo",
"name": "Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_aapl",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_meta",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avgo",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_aapl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_meta",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "META"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_avgo",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3503
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7006
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3503,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_aapl",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "META",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_meta",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (META@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "META"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avgo",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ROC Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
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],
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"method": {
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},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple and Meta ditch Nvidia for custom chips — ride the AI spin-off trend'. Thesis: The news highlights a major shift in the AI landscape: Nvidia's $1 trillion slide has pushed its valuation to multiyear lows, but rather than just bouncing back, the market is rewarding companies reducing their reliance on Nvidia. Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom and Meta's successful development of custom AI chips show that big tech is pivoting toward in-house solutions. Connecting Nvidia's struggles with Apple and Meta's aggressive chip strategies reveals a clear rotation trade—investors are selling the established AI chip monopoly and buying the tech giants building their own independent AI infrastructure.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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