Public trading strategy
Strategy signals panic selling while Ark Invest buys the dip — contrarian crypto
Created
Thesis
Yahoo Finance reports that Strategy (formerly Microstrategy) just opened the door to selling Bitcoin to fund operations — a stark reversal of their core strategy that signals capitulation. Normally, this kind of forced selling creates a short-term flush in crypto-related stocks. However, The Block reports that Ark Invest is actively loading up on Coinbase, Circle, and Robinhood — smart money is buying the dip. We connect this with Bloomberg's report that Citadel warns the hawkish Fed is creating a drag on risk assets, explaining the broader selloff. When institutional buyers step in during a headline-driven panic, it often marks a short-term bottom.
Strategy approach
Build a contrarian mean-reversion strategy that enters long COIN on D1 when MSTR drops >5% on heavy volume (1.5x its 20-day average volume) and COIN is down >3% on the same day. Require that COIN's 14-day RSI is below 40. Exit on a 3% gain or after a 10-day hold. Use a 5% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (COIN@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (MSTR@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (HOOD@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (HOOD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (HOOD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mstr",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_hood",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "HOOD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mstr",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_hood",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "HOOD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mstr",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_hood",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "HOOD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4118666666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4118666666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mstr",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "HOOD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_hood",
"name": "RSI/OBV/ADX Signal Long (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "HOOD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mstr",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_hood",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "HOOD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mstr",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_hood",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (HOOD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "HOOD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4118666666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4118666666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Strategy signals panic selling while Ark Invest buys the dip — contrarian crypto trade'. Thesis: Yahoo Finance reports that Strategy (formerly Microstrategy) just opened the door to selling Bitcoin to fund operations — a stark reversal of their core strategy that signals capitulation. Normally, this kind of forced selling creates a short-term flush in crypto-related stocks. However, The Block reports that Ark Invest is actively loading up on Coinbase, Circle, and Robinhood — smart money is buying the dip. We connect this with Bloomberg's report that Citadel warns the hawkish Fed is creating a drag on risk assets, explaining the broader selloff. When institutional buyers step in during a headline-driven panic, it often marks a short-term bottom.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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