CRCL Value Pullback Entry Strategy
Created
Thesis
Regulatory clarity is the single biggest overhang for stablecoin and tokenization businesses: when the rules of the game are written, the largest compliant players gain share because banks and funds prefer regulated issuers. The Fed's stablecoin framework plus the CFTC welcoming tokenized assets signal both agencies are embracing rather than restricting crypto infrastructure — an outcome that disproportionately benefits established, compliant stablecoin issuers like Circle. Unlike the ETF-flow story driving headline bitcoin prices, this is a structural, multi-quarter shift in the operating environment, so the trade works even if bitcoin stays choppy.
Strategy approach
Regulatory clarity is the single biggest overhang for stablecoin and tokenization businesses: when the rules of the game are written, the largest compliant players gain share because banks and funds prefer regulated issuers. The Fed's stablecoin framework plus the CFTC welcoming tokenized assets signal both agencies are embracing rather than restricting crypto infrastructure — an outcome that disproportionately benefits established, compliant stablecoin issuers like Circle. Unlike the ETF-flow story driving headline bitcoin prices, this is a structural, multi-quarter shift in the operating environment, so the trade works even if bitcoin stays choppy. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
COIN · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (14) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price above EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
CRCL · 1d
0 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — near
- Price above Bollinger (20) — near
- Stochastic (14) crossed above Stochastic (14) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- Price above EMA (50) — met
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (CRCL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (CRCL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (COIN@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRCL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (CRCL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_crcl",
"name": "EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_crcl",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_coin",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_crcl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_crcl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.31
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.62
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.31,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_crcl",
"name": "EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "k",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "d",
"indicator": {
"d_period": 3,
"k_period": 14,
"name": "stochastic",
"slowing": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "EMA/BB/STOCHASTIC/MACD Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_crcl",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_coin",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_crcl",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRCL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_crcl",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (CRCL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRCL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.31
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.62
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.31,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Regulatory clarity is the single biggest overhang for stablecoin and tokenization businesses: when the rules of the game are written, the largest compliant players gain share because banks and funds prefer regulated issuers. The Fed's stablecoin framework'. Thesis: Regulatory clarity is the single biggest overhang for stablecoin and tokenization businesses: when the rules of the game are written, the largest compliant players gain share because banks and funds prefer regulated issuers. The Fed's stablecoin framework plus the CFTC welcoming tokenized assets signal both agencies are embracing rather than restricting crypto infrastructure — an outcome that disproportionately benefits established, compliant stablecoin issuers like Circle. Unlike the ETF-flow story driving headline bitcoin prices, this is a structural, multi-quarter shift in the operating environment, so the trade works even if bitcoin stays choppy.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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