Public trading strategy
Coinbase is heading into earnings with analysts already lowering their expectati
Created
Thesis
Coinbase is heading into earnings with analysts already lowering their expectations because trading activity dried up over the summer — when fewer people buy and sell crypto, Coinbase makes less money on fees. That alone is a weak setup. But the broader tech sell-off makes it worse: when investors are panicking about AI valuations and pulling money out of tech stocks, they tend to pull money out of speculative assets like crypto too. A double headwind of weak crypto trading volume and a risk-off stock market suggests the stock could fall further after its report.
Strategy approach
Coinbase is heading into earnings with analysts already lowering their expectations because trading activity dried up over the summer — when fewer people buy and sell crypto, Coinbase makes less money on fees. That alone is a weak setup. But the broader tech sell-off makes it worse: when investors are panicking about AI valuations and pulling money out of tech stocks, they tend to pull money out of speculative assets like crypto too. A double headwind of weak crypto trading volume and a risk-off stock market suggests the stock could fall further after its report. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
COIN1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
COIN · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- RSI (14) below 45 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ADX/RSI Crossover Long (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ADX/RSI Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.33
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.66
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.33,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ADX/RSI Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.33
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.66
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.33,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Coinbase is heading into earnings with analysts already lowering their expectations because trading activity dried up over the summer — when fewer people buy and sell crypto, Coinbase makes less money on fees. That alone is a weak setup. But the broader t'. Thesis: Coinbase is heading into earnings with analysts already lowering their expectations because trading activity dried up over the summer — when fewer people buy and sell crypto, Coinbase makes less money on fees. That alone is a weak setup. But the broader tech sell-off makes it worse: when investors are panicking about AI valuations and pulling money out of tech stocks, they tend to pull money out of speculative assets like crypto too. A double headwind of weak crypto trading volume and a risk-off stock market suggests the stock could fall further after its report.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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