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Public trading strategy

Cooling inflation is dragging oil prices down as traders bet the Fed will stop h

Created

Thesis

Cooling inflation is dragging oil prices down as traders bet the Fed will stop hiking rates, but a surprise geopolitical threat from the U.S. to blockade Iran threatens to disrupt the physical oil supply at any moment. Meanwhile, the energy market is underpricing the demand shock from AI: earnings confirm CoreWeave and Super Micro are building out massive data centers, and Anthropic's expansion is explicitly flagged as bullish for power infrastructure. Natural gas producers and uranium are the ultimate pick-and-shovel play to capture this intersection of physical supply risks and structural electricity demand growth.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BOIL · 1d

0 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price at or above SMA (20) — near
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 30 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — far
  • Price at or above SMA (20) — near
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 30 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — far
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed below 0 — far

UNG · 1d

0 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price at or above SMA (20) — near
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 30 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — near
  • Price at or above SMA (20) — near
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) crossed above 30 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above 0 — near
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed below 0 — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (BOIL@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (UNG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (BOIL@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (UNG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (BOIL@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (UNG@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (BOIL@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (UNG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BOIL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BOIL@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_boil",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ung",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_boil",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_ung",
      "name": "SMA/RSI/MACD Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_boil",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_ung",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_boil",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ung",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_boil",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ung",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_boil",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BOIL@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BOIL"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ung",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.3
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.6
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BOIL",
              "timeframe": "1d"
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  "position_sizing": {
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
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}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Cooling inflation is dragging oil prices down as traders bet the Fed will stop hiking rates, but a surprise geopolitical threat from the U.S. to blockade Iran threatens to disrupt the physical oil supply at any moment. Meanwhile, the energy market is unde'. Thesis: Cooling inflation is dragging oil prices down as traders bet the Fed will stop hiking rates, but a surprise geopolitical threat from the U.S. to blockade Iran threatens to disrupt the physical oil supply at any moment. Meanwhile, the energy market is underpricing the demand shock from AI: earnings confirm CoreWeave and Super Micro are building out massive data centers, and Anthropic's expansion is explicitly flagged as bullish for power infrastructure. Natural gas producers and uranium are the ultimate pick-and-shovel play to capture this intersection of physical supply risks and structural electricity demand growth.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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