Public trading strategy
AI bubble pops for software, but chip hardware is booming — long Micron and Qual
Created
Thesis
The broader market is panicking over cheap Chinese AI alternatives, which is inherently bad for expensive, software-centric AI stocks. However, Micron's blowout earnings—where margins jumped to nearly 85%—and Qualcomm's massive data center revenue forecast prove that the physical building blocks of AI (memory and chips) remain in a supply crunch with insatiable demand. By combining the bearish Chinese AI news with the bullish hardware earnings, we can see a clear split: the AI trade is rotating from software narratives to hardware reality. Going long the hardware makers offers a way to play AI growth while avoiding the software valuation crash.
Strategy approach
Construct a long/short pairs strategy on D1 timeframe. Enter long MU and QCOM while simultaneously shorting an overvalued software/AI basket (e.g., short PLTR and SNOW). Enter when the 14-day RSI of MU crosses above 60. Exit the entire pair if MU drops below its 20-day EMA, or after a 30-day hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 40 — met
- Price above EMA (20) — far
QCOM · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 40 — met
- Price above EMA (20) — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/EMA Crossover Long (QCOM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (QCOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI/EMA Crossover Long (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "QCOM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.464466666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.928933333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.464466666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI/EMA Crossover Long (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "QCOM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QCOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QCOM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.464466666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.928933333333334
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.464466666666667,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AI bubble pops for software, but chip hardware is booming — long Micron and Qualcomm'. Thesis: The broader market is panicking over cheap Chinese AI alternatives, which is inherently bad for expensive, software-centric AI stocks. However, Micron's blowout earnings—where margins jumped to nearly 85%—and Qualcomm's massive data center revenue forecast prove that the physical building blocks of AI (memory and chips) remain in a supply crunch with insatiable demand. By combining the bearish Chinese AI news with the bullish hardware earnings, we can see a clear split: the AI trade is rotating from software narratives to hardware reality. Going long the hardware makers offers a way to play AI growth while avoiding the software valuation crash.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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