Public trading strategy
Micron's AI memory boom overshadowed by tech panic — contrarian dip-buy on MU
Created
Thesis
Micron just delivered a massive revenue upgrade driven by AI memory demand, setting it up to be more profitable than almost any company in the country outside of Nvidia and Google. Despite this phenomenal news, the stock fell because of a broader, mood-driven sell-off in technology stocks where investors dumped everything chip-related. When a company's fundamentals drastically improve but the stock gets dragged down simply because the overall sector is out of favor, it often snaps back violently once the panic subsides. Buying Micron here capitalizes on that eventual realization.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU on D1 when the stock closes 5% below its 10-day SMA while the broader PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX) closes green for the day. Exit when MU makes a new 5-day high, or after a maximum 21-day hold. Apply a 7% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below -5 — far
- ROC (1) above 0 — met
- Price above SMA (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (5) — met
SMH · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below -5 — far
- ROC (1) above 0 — met
- Price above SMA (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (5) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/SMA Signal Long (SMH@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.476066666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.952133333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.476066666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_smh",
"name": "ROC/SMA Signal Long (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "SMH"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 5
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_smh",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_smh",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_smh",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SMH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.476066666666666
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.952133333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.476066666666666,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron's AI memory boom overshadowed by tech panic — contrarian dip-buy on MU'. Thesis: Micron just delivered a massive revenue upgrade driven by AI memory demand, setting it up to be more profitable than almost any company in the country outside of Nvidia and Google. Despite this phenomenal news, the stock fell because of a broader, mood-driven sell-off in technology stocks where investors dumped everything chip-related. When a company's fundamentals drastically improve but the stock gets dragged down simply because the overall sector is out of favor, it often snaps back violently once the panic subsides. Buying Micron here capitalizes on that eventual realization.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies