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Public trading strategy

Traders are aggressively selling Japan's 40-year bonds, signaling a loss of conf

Created

Thesis

Traders are aggressively selling Japan's 40-year bonds, signaling a loss of confidence in the central bank's ability to keep inflation in check. The yen has already been pushed to historic lows against the dollar, but this type of bond market panic often forces a central bank to unexpectedly intervene or hint at faster rate hikes to defend its currency. A surprise shift toward tighter policy would cause the heavily shorted yen to snap back violently.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: STOCHASTIC/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (FXY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (FXY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 58
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "STOCHASTIC/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 95,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "d_period": 3,
      "k_period": 14,
      "name": "stochastic",
      "slowing": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 58
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "k",
            "indicator": {
              "d_period": 3,
              "k_period": 14,
              "name": "stochastic",
              "slowing": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "STOCHASTIC/RSI/SMA Crossover Long (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 95,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (FXY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Traders are aggressively selling Japan's 40-year bonds, signaling a loss of confidence in the central bank's ability to keep inflation in check. The yen has already been pushed to historic lows against the dollar, but this type of bond market panic often '. Thesis: Traders are aggressively selling Japan's 40-year bonds, signaling a loss of confidence in the central bank's ability to keep inflation in check. The yen has already been pushed to historic lows against the dollar, but this type of bond market panic often forces a central bank to unexpectedly intervene or hint at faster rate hikes to defend its currency. A surprise shift toward tighter policy would cause the heavily shorted yen to snap back violently.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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