Public trading strategy
VNQ Rate-Driven Trend Short with Breakdown Confirmation Strategy
Created
Thesis
Real-estate investment trusts pay fat dividends and carry heavy debt, so they live and die by borrowing costs. With the Fed hiking on top of Treasury yields near 5%, and commentators questioning whether the decades of low rates are permanently over, the headwind for landlords is structural rather than a one-day shock. The first hike in three years also signals more tightening could follow, giving this trade runway. Most Fed-day trades in the market right now focus on stocks, gold, or the dollar — levered property stocks are the cleaner, less crowded expression.
Strategy approach
Real-estate investment trusts pay fat dividends and carry heavy debt, so they live and die by borrowing costs. With the Fed hiking on top of Treasury yields near 5%, and commentators questioning whether the decades of low rates are permanently over, the headwind for landlords is structural rather than a one-day shock. The first hike in three years also signals more tightening could follow, giving this trade runway. Most Fed-day trades in the market right now focus on stocks, gold, or the dollar — levered property stocks are the cleaner, less crowded expression. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
ARE · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) below EMA (50) — near
- ROC (10) below 0 — far
O · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) below EMA (50) — met
- ROC (10) below 0 — met
VNQ · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- EMA (20) below EMA (50) — met
- ROC (10) below 0 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/ROC Crossover Long (VNQ@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ROC Crossover Long (ARE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ROC Crossover Long (O@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (VNQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (ARE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (O@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (VNQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (ARE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (O@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vnq",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_are",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_o",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (O@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:O"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vnq",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_are",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_o",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (O@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:O"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_vnq",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_are",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_o",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (O@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:O"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.2575
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.515
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.2575,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vnq",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_are",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_o",
"name": "EMA/ROC Crossover Long (O@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:O"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vnq",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_are",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_o",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (O@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:O"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VNQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_vnq",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (VNQ@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VNQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:ARE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_are",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (ARE@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:ARE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:O",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_o",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (O@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:O"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.2575
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.515
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.2575,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Real-estate investment trusts pay fat dividends and carry heavy debt, so they live and die by borrowing costs. With the Fed hiking on top of Treasury yields near 5%, and commentators questioning whether the decades of low rates are permanently over, the h'. Thesis: Real-estate investment trusts pay fat dividends and carry heavy debt, so they live and die by borrowing costs. With the Fed hiking on top of Treasury yields near 5%, and commentators questioning whether the decades of low rates are permanently over, the headwind for landlords is structural rather than a one-day shock. The first hike in three years also signals more tightening could follow, giving this trade runway. Most Fed-day trades in the market right now focus on stocks, gold, or the dollar — levered property stocks are the cleaner, less crowded expression.
Performance
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- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
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- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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