CVX Value Pullback Momentum Strategy
Created
Thesis
The Red Sea insurance surge makes Saudi exports costlier to move, and a separate UN warning about Libya raises the chance of sanctioned supply coming offline. When two different supply routes are threatened at the same time, crude oil has multiple reasons to stay elevated or rise. Big integrated oil companies like Exxon and Chevron profit directly from higher crude, and their share prices have historically outperformed during supply-shock periods. With stocks broadly pressured by rate fears, energy offers a way to own something that benefits from the same forces hurting the rest of the market.
Strategy approach
The Red Sea insurance surge makes Saudi exports costlier to move, and a separate UN warning about Libya raises the chance of sanctioned supply coming offline. When two different supply routes are threatened at the same time, crude oil has multiple reasons to stay elevated or rise. Big integrated oil companies like Exxon and Chevron profit directly from higher crude, and their share prices have historically outperformed during supply-shock periods. With stocks broadly pressured by rate fears, energy offers a way to own something that benefits from the same forces hurting the rest of the market. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CVX · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — near
- Price at or below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 45 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price at or below EMA (50) — near
- Price at or below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 45 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
XOM · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price at or below EMA (50) — near
- Price at or below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 45 — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price at or below EMA (50) — near
- Price at or below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 45 — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (XOM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cvx",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xom",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_cvx",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xom",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_cvx",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xom",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_cvx",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xom",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_cvx",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xom",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.272692307692308
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.545384615384616
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.272692307692308,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cvx",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xom",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "middle",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_cvx",
"name": "EMA/BB/RSI/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 2,
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{
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{
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"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
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},
{
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"direction": "long",
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{
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],
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],
"exit_rules": [
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"conditions": [
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"left": {
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],
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{
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],
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_cvx",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
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"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xom",
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"purpose": "stop_loss",
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{
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"conditions": [
{
"left": {
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},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
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"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
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],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
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],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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"type": "fixed_risk"
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"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The Red Sea insurance surge makes Saudi exports costlier to move, and a separate UN warning about Libya raises the chance of sanctioned supply coming offline. When two different supply routes are threatened at the same time, crude oil has multiple reasons'. Thesis: The Red Sea insurance surge makes Saudi exports costlier to move, and a separate UN warning about Libya raises the chance of sanctioned supply coming offline. When two different supply routes are threatened at the same time, crude oil has multiple reasons to stay elevated or rise. Big integrated oil companies like Exxon and Chevron profit directly from higher crude, and their share prices have historically outperformed during supply-shock periods. With stocks broadly pressured by rate fears, energy offers a way to own something that benefits from the same forces hurting the rest of the market.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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