Public trading strategy
Micron called 'the next Nvidia' but stock sold off — buy the dip on AI memory pl
Created
Thesis
Multiple analysts are calling Micron 'the next Nvidia' and projecting it could soon be more profitable than any US company except Nvidia and Google, driven by Big Tech paying premium prices for AI memory components. The company also just announced a huge revenue upgrade. Yet Micron finished last week in the red because it got caught in a broader tech sell-off that also dragged down Nvidia and other chip stocks. When a stock with improving fundamentals gets punished alongside weaker peers, it often rebounds faster once the panic subsides. The combination of a blockbuster earnings story and a temporary sector-wide dip sets up a potential bounce.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion long strategy on MU on the H4 timeframe. Enter when MU closes 5% or more below its 10-day high while NVDA is also at least 3% below its 10-day high (confirming sector-wide weakness rather than MU-specific problems). Exit when MU recovers to its 10-day high or after 15 trading days. Add a 8% stop loss from entry.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/DONCHIAN/MACD Signal Long (NVDA@4h) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@4h) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 60
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/DONCHIAN/MACD Signal Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5662000000000003
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1324000000000005
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5662000000000003,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 60
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 60
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "ROC/DONCHIAN/MACD Signal Long (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5662000000000003
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.1324000000000005
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (NVDA@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.5662000000000003,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron called 'the next Nvidia' but stock sold off — buy the dip on AI memory play'. Thesis: Multiple analysts are calling Micron 'the next Nvidia' and projecting it could soon be more profitable than any US company except Nvidia and Google, driven by Big Tech paying premium prices for AI memory components. The company also just announced a huge revenue upgrade. Yet Micron finished last week in the red because it got caught in a broader tech sell-off that also dragged down Nvidia and other chip stocks. When a stock with improving fundamentals gets punished alongside weaker peers, it often rebounds faster once the panic subsides. The combination of a blockbuster earnings story and a temporary sector-wide dip sets up a potential bounce.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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