Public trading strategy
Micron earnings explode 987% but stock dumps with tech — buy the dip on chip wea
Created
Thesis
Micron is caught in a massive wave of tech-selling today, but the company's fundamental picture is as strong as it gets, with earnings expected to rocket almost 1,000%. This creates a classic disconnect: the stock is plunging, but the business is booming. If the panic selling cools off, stocks with this kind of earnings power tend to bounce back the fastest as bargain hunters step in.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU on the daily timeframe when the stock drops more than 5% intraday while the broader semiconductor sector (SMH) is down less than 3%. Exit conditions: take profit at the 10-day moving average, or cut losses with a 4% stop loss. Max hold time of 10 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
MU1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) below -5 — far
- ROC (1) above -3 — met
- RSI (14) below 40 — near
- Price above SMA (50) — far
- Price below SMA (10) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Contrarian Overextension Short: MU Down >5% While Sector Relatively Firm (MU@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Close Below 10-Day Moving Average (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 4% (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Time Stop: 10 Trading Days (MU@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Contrarian Overextension Short: MU Down >5% While Sector Relatively Firm (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "TP: Close Below 10-Day Moving Average (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "Time Stop: 10 Trading Days (MU@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "invalidation",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.5845333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Contrarian Overextension Short: MU Down >5% While Sector Relatively Firm (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mu",
"name": "TP: Close Below 10-Day Moving Average (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "Stop Loss at 4% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "Time Stop: 10 Trading Days (MU@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "invalidation",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.5845333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 3
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Micron earnings explode 987% but stock dumps with tech — buy the dip on chip weakness'. Thesis: Micron is caught in a massive wave of tech-selling today, but the company's fundamental picture is as strong as it gets, with earnings expected to rocket almost 1,000%. This creates a classic disconnect: the stock is plunging, but the business is booming. If the panic selling cools off, stocks with this kind of earnings power tend to bounce back the fastest as bargain hunters step in.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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