Rate-hike fears vanish overnight — gold is ready to catch a bid

Thesis

Gold had been capped below $4,100 as traders feared higher interest rates, which make non-yielding assets less attractive. This morning's brutal jobs report killed those rate-hike expectations and sent Treasury bonds rallying. With a falling interest rate tailwind and an economy still supported by a stock market coming off its best quarter in six years, the macro setup for gold is now optimal. The combination of a clear rate ceiling and underlying economic resilience sets up a perfect gold accumulation trade.

Strategy approach

Build a strategy that enters long GLD on D1 when the US 10-Year Treasury yield closes below its 20-day low AND GLD is within 2% of a 20-day high. Exit on a 5% trailing stop or a 21-day max hold.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated 2026-09-06 08:08 UTC. This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

• Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d) (3 conditions)
• Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
• Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
• Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
• Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
• Exit: Take Profit at 5.3% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GLD"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.638866666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.277733333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.638866666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "GLD"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 21
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.638866666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.277733333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.638866666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Rate-hike fears vanish overnight — gold is ready to catch a bid'. Thesis: Gold had been capped below $4,100 as traders feared higher interest rates, which make non-yielding assets less attractive. This morning's brutal jobs report killed those rate-hike expectations and sent Treasury bonds rallying. With a falling interest rate tailwind and an economy still supported by a stock market coming off its best quarter in six years, the macro setup for gold is now optimal. The combination of a clear rate ceiling and underlying economic resilience sets up a perfect gold accumulation trade.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

• The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
• Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
• No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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