Apple drops $30B on Broadcom as AI chips bottom — buy the semiconductor dip
Created
Thesis
Apple's staggering $30 billion commitment to Broadcom proves that the underlying fundamentals and demand for advanced chips remain incredibly strong, regardless of the broader market panic. While headlines about Nvidia's server delays have scared investors and driven the whole sector down, Bloomberg notes Nvidia is now the cheapest it has been since before the AI boom. Connecting Apple's massive spending vote of confidence with the extreme discount on Nvidia suggests the recent tech selloff is overdone. We want to buy top-tier chipmakers that have tangible, locked-in revenue pipelines.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long AVGO on D1 when it closes within 1% of its 10-day high while NVDA is trading more than 2 standard deviations below its 20-day mean. Include a 5% stop loss and a 15-day maximum holding period.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AAPL · 1d
6 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — near
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
AVGO · 1d
9 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
NVDA · 1d
9 of 12 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
- Price below Donchian (10) — met
- Price below Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
- RSI (14) above 75 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AVGO@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AAPL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 3.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avgo",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_aapl",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3286333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "AAPL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (AAPL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3",
"name": "DONCHIAN/BB/RSI Signal Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avgo",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_aapl",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AAPL"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVGO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 75
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AVGO@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"target_symbol": "AVGO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 3.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3286333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple drops $30B on Broadcom as AI chips bottom — buy the semiconductor dip'. Thesis: Apple's staggering $30 billion commitment to Broadcom proves that the underlying fundamentals and demand for advanced chips remain incredibly strong, regardless of the broader market panic. While headlines about Nvidia's server delays have scared investors and driven the whole sector down, Bloomberg notes Nvidia is now the cheapest it has been since before the AI boom. Connecting Apple's massive spending vote of confidence with the extreme discount on Nvidia suggests the recent tech selloff is overdone. We want to buy top-tier chipmakers that have tangible, locked-in revenue pipelines.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies