Tech tanks but banks pass the stress test — rotate into JPMorgan
Created
Thesis
The broader market is currently being dragged down by a tech sell-off, but the financial sector is quietly setting up for a major breakout. Bloomberg reports that all big banks passed the Fed's stress test with flying colors, which immediately triggered a massive $50 billion buyback from JPMorgan and dividend hikes from Goldman Sachs. When companies buy back their own stock at this scale, it provides a massive floor under their share prices. With money flowing out of volatile tech stocks, this combination of Fed-approved safety and huge cash payouts makes the banking sector the perfect safe-haven trade.
Strategy approach
Build a rotation strategy on the D1 timeframe comparing JPM (or XLF) against QQQ. Enter long JPM when JPM makes a 20-day high and QQQ is trading below its own 20-day simple moving average. Exit the trade if QQQ closes above its 10-day SMA (indicating tech strength is returning) or after a maximum hold of 30 days. Use a 5% trailing stop.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (JPM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (GS@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (JPM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (GS@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (XLF@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gs",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_qqq",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/ATR Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "QQQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_jpm",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_gs",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_xlf",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_qqq",
"name": "DONCHIAN/SMA Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "QQQ"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_jpm",
"name": "Crossover Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_gs",
"name": "Crossover Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_xlf",
"name": "Crossover Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_qqq",
"name": "Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "QQQ"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jpm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gs",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xlf",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_qqq",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gs",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_qqq",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_qqq",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "QQQ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4797333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.959466666666667
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4797333333333333,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "QQQ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
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"method": {
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"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tech tanks but banks pass the stress test — rotate into JPMorgan'. Thesis: The broader market is currently being dragged down by a tech sell-off, but the financial sector is quietly setting up for a major breakout. Bloomberg reports that all big banks passed the Fed's stress test with flying colors, which immediately triggered a massive $50 billion buyback from JPMorgan and dividend hikes from Goldman Sachs. When companies buy back their own stock at this scale, it provides a massive floor under their share prices. With money flowing out of volatile tech stocks, this combination of Fed-approved safety and huge cash payouts makes the banking sector the perfect safe-haven trade.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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