COIN Event-Driven Confirmation Momentum Strategy
Created
Thesis
Regulatory clarity has been the single biggest overhang on crypto-adjacent stocks — every time rules move forward, exchanges and miners re-rate sharply because institutional money waits on the sidelines until the legal picture is clear. A White House adviser expressing confidence ahead of the vote signals the outcome is likely favorable, and markets tend to run up in advance of high-probability positive regulatory events. Unlike Bitcoin itself, Coinbase and the miners are levered plays on this specific catalyst, so a favorable vote should hit them hardest to the upside.
Strategy approach
Regulatory clarity has been the single biggest overhang on crypto-adjacent stocks — every time rules move forward, exchanges and miners re-rate sharply because institutional money waits on the sidelines until the legal picture is clear. A White House adviser expressing confidence ahead of the vote signals the outcome is likely favorable, and markets tend to run up in advance of high-probability positive regulatory events. Unlike Bitcoin itself, Coinbase and the miners are levered plays on this specific catalyst, so a favorable vote should hit them hardest to the upside. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
COIN · 1d
6 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
MARA · 1d
6 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
RIOT · 1d
4 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above Price — met
- MACD (12,26,9) above MACD (12,26,9) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: MACD/ADX Crossover Long (COIN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: MACD/ADX Crossover Long (MARA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: MACD/ADX Crossover Long (RIOT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: MACD/ADX Signal Long (COIN@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: MACD/ADX Signal Long (MARA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: MACD/ADX Signal Long (RIOT@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (MARA@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (RIOT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MARA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RIOT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MARA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (RIOT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "MACD/ADX Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mara",
"name": "MACD/ADX Crossover Long (MARA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MARA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_riot",
"name": "MACD/ADX Crossover Long (RIOT@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RIOT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_coin",
"name": "MACD/ADX Signal Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_mara",
"name": "MACD/ADX Signal Long (MARA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MARA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_riot",
"name": "MACD/ADX Signal Long (RIOT@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RIOT"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_coin",
"name": "Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_mara",
"name": "Crossover Long (MARA@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MARA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_riot",
"name": "Crossover Long (RIOT@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:RIOT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_coin",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mara",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (MARA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MARA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_riot",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (RIOT@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIOT"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_coin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mara",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MARA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MARA"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_riot",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RIOT@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:RIOT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3033333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.6066666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3033333333333332,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MARA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:RIOT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "high",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_coin",
"name": "MACD/ADX Crossover Long (COIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Regulatory clarity has been the single biggest overhang on crypto-adjacent stocks — every time rules move forward, exchanges and miners re-rate sharply because institutional money waits on the sidelines until the legal picture is clear. A White House advi'. Thesis: Regulatory clarity has been the single biggest overhang on crypto-adjacent stocks — every time rules move forward, exchanges and miners re-rate sharply because institutional money waits on the sidelines until the legal picture is clear. A White House adviser expressing confidence ahead of the vote signals the outcome is likely favorable, and markets tend to run up in advance of high-probability positive regulatory events. Unlike Bitcoin itself, Coinbase and the miners are levered plays on this specific catalyst, so a favorable vote should hit them hardest to the upside.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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