Private equity buying easyJet at $7.7 billion looks like a peak-of-cycle signal
Created
Thesis
Private equity buying easyJet at $7.7 billion looks like a peak-of-cycle signal — these firms are famous for buying at the top, not the bottom. At the same time, oil is dropping on easing Middle East tensions, which sounds good for airlines but actually removes the supply-side pressure that has been keeping a lid on capacity growth. When fuel gets cheap and valuations get rich at the same time, it often means the easy money has already been made. The trade is to fade the airline rally as the smart money exits.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
DAL · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
JETS · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — near
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
LUV · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- EMA (9) crossed below EMA (21) — near
- RSI (14) crossed below 60 — far
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed below MACD (12,26,9) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (DAL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (JETS@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (LUV@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (DAL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (JETS@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (LUV@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (JETS@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (LUV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (DAL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (JETS@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LUV@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (JETS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (LUV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (DAL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (JETS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (LUV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.2% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dal",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jets",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_luv",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_dal",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_jets",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "histogram",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_luv",
"name": "EMA/RSI/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_dal",
"name": "Crossover Long (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_jets",
"name": "Crossover Long (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_luv",
"name": "Crossover Long (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dal",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jets",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_luv",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dal",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jets",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_luv",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DAL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dal",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DAL@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DAL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JETS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jets",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (JETS@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JETS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LUV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_luv",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (LUV@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LUV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.24
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
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}Parsed strategy
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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],
"exit_rules": [
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{
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}
],
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{
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},
{
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},
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],
"enabled": true,
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},
{
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{
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],
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{
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],
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{
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],
"position_sizing": {
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"method": {
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},
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Private equity buying easyJet at $7.7 billion looks like a peak-of-cycle signal — these firms are famous for buying at the top, not the bottom. At the same time, oil is dropping on easing Middle East tensions, which sounds good for airlines but actually r'. Thesis: Private equity buying easyJet at $7.7 billion looks like a peak-of-cycle signal — these firms are famous for buying at the top, not the bottom. At the same time, oil is dropping on easing Middle East tensions, which sounds good for airlines but actually removes the supply-side pressure that has been keeping a lid on capacity growth. When fuel gets cheap and valuations get rich at the same time, it often means the easy money has already been made. The trade is to fade the airline rally as the smart money exits.
Performance
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- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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