AVAX Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short Strategy
Created
Thesis
The Clarity Act's failure removes the main catalyst bulls were counting on — the promise that clear US rules would bring institutional money into crypto. Combined with a Fed that just hiked and promised more, speculative capital has less reason to sit in small coins that depend on regulatory goodwill. Big names like Bitcoin have steadier demand, so the weakest relative performers are likely the riskier altcoins until regulatory clarity returns.
Strategy approach
The Clarity Act's failure removes the main catalyst bulls were counting on — the promise that clear US rules would bring institutional money into crypto. Combined with a Fed that just hiked and promised more, speculative capital has less reason to sit in small coins that depend on regulatory goodwill. Big names like Bitcoin have steadier demand, so the weakest relative performers are likely the riskier altcoins until regulatory clarity returns. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (AVAX@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (DOGE@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (SOL@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (AVAX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (DOGE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (SOL@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Fixed Adverse Move Stop at 7% (about one week's typical range) (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 14% (2:1 versus the 7% risk unit) (1 condition)
- Exit: Scale-Out into Support[1] (AVAX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Scale-Out into Support[1] (DOGE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Scale-Out into Support[1] (SOL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Overextended Move: AVAX Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (AVAX@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Overextended Move: DOGE Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (DOGE@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Overextended Move: SOL Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (SOL@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop at 45 Bars (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_short_avax",
"name": "Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (AVAX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_short_doge",
"name": "Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (DOGE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_short_sol",
"name": "Confirmed Relative-Weakness Short (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_reclaim_avax",
"name": "Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (AVAX@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_reclaim_doge",
"name": "Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (DOGE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_reclaim_sol",
"name": "Resistance Reclaim with Momentum Stop (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_fixed_stop",
"name": "Fixed Adverse Move Stop at 7% (about one week's typical range)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -14
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_tp",
"name": "Take Profit at 14% (2:1 versus the 7% risk unit)",
"priority": 51,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_support_avax",
"name": "Scale-Out into Support[1] (AVAX@1d)",
"priority": 60,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_support_doge",
"name": "Scale-Out into Support[1] (DOGE@1d)",
"priority": 61,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_support_sol",
"name": "Scale-Out into Support[1] (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 62,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_overextended_avax",
"name": "Overextended Move: AVAX Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (AVAX@1d)",
"priority": 70,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_overextended_doge",
"name": "Overextended Move: DOGE Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (DOGE@1d)",
"priority": 71,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 10
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_overextended_sol",
"name": "Overextended Move: SOL Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (SOL@1d)",
"priority": 72,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time_stop",
"name": "Time Stop at 45 Bars",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4033333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CRYPTO:AVAX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "value",
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
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"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
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],
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{
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{
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},
{
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{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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],
"exit_rules": [
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],
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},
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{
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},
{
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"conditions": [
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"right": {
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],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
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],
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"id": "exit_support_avax",
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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},
{
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}
],
"enabled": true,
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"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
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],
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"purpose": "take_profit",
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},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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},
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},
"operator": "less_than",
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}
},
{
"left": {
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},
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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{
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],
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"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:DOGE"
},
{
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"conditions": [
{
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},
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},
"operator": "less_than",
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},
{
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},
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}
},
{
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},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
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}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_overextended_sol",
"name": "Overextended Move: SOL Deeply Oversold While BTC Holds (SOL@1d)",
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"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "CRYPTO:SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_time_stop",
"name": "Time Stop at 45 Bars",
"priority": 90,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4033333333333333,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 2
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The Clarity Act's failure removes the main catalyst bulls were counting on — the promise that clear US rules would bring institutional money into crypto. Combined with a Fed that just hiked and promised more, speculative capital has less reason to sit in '. Thesis: The Clarity Act's failure removes the main catalyst bulls were counting on — the promise that clear US rules would bring institutional money into crypto. Combined with a Fed that just hiked and promised more, speculative capital has less reason to sit in small coins that depend on regulatory goodwill. Big names like Bitcoin have steadier demand, so the weakest relative performers are likely the riskier altcoins until regulatory clarity returns.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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