Public trading strategy
Crypto investors pull $4 billion out of Bitcoin funds — short MSTR as panic spre
Created
Thesis
Bitcoin is clinging to support as investors pull a record-breaking $4 billion out of crypto ETFs amid rising interest rate fears. When major crypto funds see massive outflows, it creates relentless downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This weak crypto price action spells disaster for companies that hold massive amounts of Bitcoin, specifically Strategy (MSTR). Combining the bearish crypto ETF news with MSTR's eleventh losing month makes it clear this downward spiral has no immediate floor.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion short strategy for MSTR on D1. Enter short when MSTR closes lower than the previous day for 3 consecutive days. Exit if MSTR closes above its 10-day high. Use a 15% hard stop loss and a maximum 21-day holding period.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BITI · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below Price — met
- ROC (3) below 0 — far
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
MSTR · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below Price — met
- ROC (3) below 0 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Price above Donchian (10) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/ATR Signal Long (MSTR@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ATR Signal Long (BITI@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (BITI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (BITI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (BITI@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.4% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mstr",
"name": "ROC/ATR Signal Long (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_biti",
"name": "ROC/ATR Signal Long (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BITI"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mstr",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_biti",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mstr",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_biti",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mstr",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_biti",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6889
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.3778
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.6889,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mstr",
"name": "ROC/ATR Signal Long (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 3
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_biti",
"name": "ROC/ATR Signal Long (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BITI"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "MSTR",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_mstr",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BITI",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_biti",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mstr",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_biti",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mstr",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MSTR@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "MSTR"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_biti",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (BITI@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BITI"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6889
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.3778
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.6889,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Crypto investors pull $4 billion out of Bitcoin funds — short MSTR as panic spreads'. Thesis: Bitcoin is clinging to support as investors pull a record-breaking $4 billion out of crypto ETFs amid rising interest rate fears. When major crypto funds see massive outflows, it creates relentless downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This weak crypto price action spells disaster for companies that hold massive amounts of Bitcoin, specifically Strategy (MSTR). Combining the bearish crypto ETF news with MSTR's eleventh losing month makes it clear this downward spiral has no immediate floor.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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