Public trading strategy
Weak jobs report kills rate-hike fears — perfect setup for JPMorgan's $50B buyba
Created
Thesis
The June jobs report showed only 57,000 new jobs — half of what was expected — which immediately scaled back fears of further Fed rate hikes and sent bond yields lower (Bloomberg, CNBC). When rate-hike pressure eases, it directly benefits bank stocks by stabilcing their lending margins. Add JPMorgan's blockbuster $50 billion buyback authorization into this mix, and you have both a macro tailwind (softer rate outlook) and a powerful company-specific catalyst (massive share repurchases). JPMorgan deploying capital at this scale signals management confidence and provides a floor under the stock, making it a high-conviction way to play the rate-pause narrative.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long JPM on D1 when the 10-year Treasury yield drops 15 basis points over 3 days AND JPM is within 5% of its 20-day high, with a 30-day max hold and a 6% trailing stop.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
JPM · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) above 50 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- ROC (10) above 0 — far
- Price below 5 — far
- Price above SMA (20) — near
XLF · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) above 50 — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- ROC (10) above 0 — met
- Price below 5 — far
- Price above SMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Trend Continuation Long (JPM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Trend Continuation Long (XLF@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "Trend Continuation Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "Trend Continuation Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jpm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xlf",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3235333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.6470666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_jpm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_xlf",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.3235333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "Trend Continuation Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "Trend Continuation Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_jpm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xlf",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3235333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.6470666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.6%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_jpm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_xlf",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 618,
"risk_percent": 2.3235333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Weak jobs report kills rate-hike fears — perfect setup for JPMorgan's $50B buyback'. Thesis: The June jobs report showed only 57,000 new jobs — half of what was expected — which immediately scaled back fears of further Fed rate hikes and sent bond yields lower (Bloomberg, CNBC). When rate-hike pressure eases, it directly benefits bank stocks by stabilcing their lending margins. Add JPMorgan's blockbuster $50 billion buyback authorization into this mix, and you have both a macro tailwind (softer rate outlook) and a powerful company-specific catalyst (massive share repurchases). JPMorgan deploying capital at this scale signals management confidence and provides a floor under the stock, making it a high-conviction way to play the rate-pause narrative.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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