Dow hits record highs as Tesla and Lilly crush it — rotate into old-economy winn
Created
Thesis
Tesla's massive delivery beat is giving the stock a huge boost, proving that consumer-facing companies can still grow despite macro uncertainty. This aligns with the broader market divergence where the Dow is hitting record highs thanks to companies like Eli Lilly, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq struggles as memory-chip makers face a supply glut. The combination of strong consumer demand (Tesla) and sector leadership shifting away from overheated AI chips signals a healthy broadening of the stock market rally.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long TSLA on D1 when the stock closes up more than 3% on high volume following a positive fundamental catalyst (earnings or deliveries beat). Add a macro trend filter requiring the DIA (Dow Jones ETF) to be trading above its 50-day moving average while the SMH (Semiconductor ETF) is trending below its 10-day moving average. Exit on a 12% fixed stop loss or a 20-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
DIA · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above 3 — met
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
LLY · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
TSLA · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above 3 — met
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Price above SMA (50) — near
- OBV above 0 — unknown
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (TSLA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (DIA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 20.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (DIA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (DIA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 12.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 24.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tsla",
"name": "ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dia",
"name": "ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "DIA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 20.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tsla",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dia",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tsla",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dia",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 12.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 24
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 24.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3265666666666664,
"stop_loss_percent": 12,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_tsla",
"name": "ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dia",
"name": "ADX/SMA/OBV Signal Long (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "DIA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 20.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tsla",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1618,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dia",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 161.8% (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "TSLA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tsla",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (TSLA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "TSLA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "DIA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dia",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 61.8% (DIA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "DIA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -12
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 12.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 24
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 24.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3265666666666664,
"stop_loss_percent": 12,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Dow hits record highs as Tesla and Lilly crush it — rotate into old-economy winners'. Thesis: Tesla's massive delivery beat is giving the stock a huge boost, proving that consumer-facing companies can still grow despite macro uncertainty. This aligns with the broader market divergence where the Dow is hitting record highs thanks to companies like Eli Lilly, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq struggles as memory-chip makers face a supply glut. The combination of strong consumer demand (Tesla) and sector leadership shifting away from overheated AI chips signals a healthy broadening of the stock market rally.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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