Public trading strategy
Peace in the Middle East — ride the relief rally on the S&P 500
Created
Thesis
The peace agreement removes a massive source of global uncertainty that has been weighing on markets. When investors suddenly feel safer, they tend to rotate money out of safe-havens and into stocks. With oil prices dropping, the market is also pricing in a lower chance of inflation, which could mean the Fed stops hiking rates — another tailwind for stocks. We expect the S&P 500 to grind higher over the next several sessions as this optimism gets priced in.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long SPY on the 1-hour timeframe when price opens with a gap up > 1% from previous day's close and RSI(14) on H1 is between 55 and 70 (showing strong but not exhausted momentum). Exit conditions: take profit at 2% gain from entry, hard stop loss at 1.5% below entry, or time-based exit at end of 3 trading days.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI Signal Long (SPY@1h) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 1.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 2.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"left": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"op": "Divide",
"right": {
"bars_ago": 1,
"field": "close",
"type": "price_previous"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.01
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI Signal Long (SPY@1h)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 1.5%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 1.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"left": {
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
},
"op": "Divide",
"right": {
"bars_ago": 1,
"field": "close",
"type": "price_previous"
},
"type": "arithmetic"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1.01
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SPY",
"timeframe": "1h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 55
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI Signal Long (SPY@1h)",
"priority": 1
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Stop Loss at 1.5%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Take Profit at 2.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"stop_loss_percent": 1.5,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1h",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Peace in the Middle East — ride the relief rally on the S&P 500'. Thesis: The peace agreement removes a massive source of global uncertainty that has been weighing on markets. When investors suddenly feel safer, they tend to rotate money out of safe-havens and into stocks. With oil prices dropping, the market is also pricing in a lower chance of inflation, which could mean the Fed stops hiking rates — another tailwind for stocks. We expect the S&P 500 to grind higher over the next several sessions as this optimism gets priced in.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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