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Public trading strategy

Iran peace deal breaking out — buy Bitcoin on global de-escalation momentum

Created

Thesis

When major geopolitical tensions ease, investors generally feel more comfortable taking risks, which historically benefits Bitcoin. The news of a potential Iran peace deal has already pushed the price of Bitcoin above $64,000, breaking it out of a recent slump. With a major catalyst confirming a shift in global sentiment, this trend has the momentum to push prices even higher in the short term as weekend uncertainty turns into weekly optimism.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long BTCUSDT on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe when the RSI(14) is between 50 and 70, and the MACD line crosses above the MACD signal line. Exit the trade on a 4% trailing stop or if the price drops below the 20-day EMA.

Markets and timeframes

BTCH4

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: MACD/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@1h) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@1h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "MACD/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 5,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "BTC",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "MACD/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "BTC",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 5,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 4.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "stop_loss_percent": 4,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Iran peace deal breaking out — buy Bitcoin on global de-escalation momentum'. Thesis: When major geopolitical tensions ease, investors generally feel more comfortable taking risks, which historically benefits Bitcoin. The news of a potential Iran peace deal has already pushed the price of Bitcoin above $64,000, breaking it out of a recent slump. With a major catalyst confirming a shift in global sentiment, this trend has the momentum to push prices even higher in the short term as weekend uncertainty turns into weekly optimism.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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